Chilly showers on the move

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a few showers on the move today as temps come way down to end the month of March. The cooler than normal numbers will carry us into day one of April, but milder changes are on the horizon later this week.

Today’s rain will be more widespread across the southern half of the state. Areas of northern Kentucky may not see very much at all. Here are your radars to track the action:

Temps today will generally be in the 40s.

Temps today will generally stay in the upper 40s to low 50s for most.

As the storm system moves away Wednesday, northwest winds behind it will keep clouds into the mix across central and eastern Kentucky. There’s a small shower chance under this area of clouds as temps struggle again.

Better weather moves in for Thursday and Friday as temps climb, kicking off another very warm period. The European Model has 7 day average temp anomalies way up there from this Thursday through next Thursday:

Temps should easily hit the 70s from time to time.

This pattern will also feature a few storms, starting with the weekend:

This much above normal pattern looks to continue into the middle of the month:

The overall setup continues to be very conducive to severe weather in Kentucky and surrounding areas. Buckle up for a busy spring.

Have a happy Tuesday and take care.

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Ugly on the way

Our final Monday of March is in pretty good shape, but things aren’t looking as good for the final day of the month on Tuesday. That’s when another ugly weather maker rolls across the region with chilly showers. As we look at the first week or two of April, we find the models continuing to trend milder than before.

Temps today are in the 60s as clouds increase. Those clouds are ahead of a southern storm system that passes by just to our south through Tuesday night and early Wednesday. That brings our ugly for stuff with it:

Temps are cooler than normal with this system through the first few days of April:

Once into Friday and the weekend, the trend continues to be for a big recovery in the thermometers. That looks to carry us into next week. Check out the EURO temperature anomalies:

As I’ve been saying on my TV gig, this is likely to be a very active spring severe weather season in our part of the world. It should also skew warmer than normal. One of the reasons I’ve been saying this is because the waters off the southeast seaboard into the Gulf are WAY above normal. This is actually nuts:

With frequent rains and thunderstorms, this looks like a tropical summer in the making around here. Those warm waters aren’t to be taken lightly. They may also be signalling another busy hurricane season.

Make it a good one and take care.

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Strong to severe storms possible tonight

Good Saturday, folks. It’s another May day across central and eastern Kentucky as this toasty pattern continues. Once we get into later this evening, our focus then becomes on the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms racing in.

Temps today will be back into the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be gusty ahead of the storm deepening to our west. A line of strong to severe storms will develop and work from west to east later this evening into the wee hours of Sunday morning.

Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

Damaging winds are the main threat with this line of storms, but large hail and a tornado will be possible.

Gusty winds will blow in here for Sunday and may reach 40mph at times. Skies become mostly sunny with temps in the upper 60s to around 70.

Clouds will filter in on Monday ahead of our next system. This looks to bring some ugly in here to end March and kickoff April:

Temps on Tuesday may not get out of the 40s.

Temps will bounce back after that, but the signal for cooler than normal temps continue to show up for early April. The Euro Ensembles show the first 10 days averaging colder than normal for much of the region:

As always, I have all the storm tracking tools you will need:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Very warm with a storm chance

Good Friday, everyone. We have another windy and warm day in store for the region, but a few thunderstorms try to crash the spring party for some. Beyond today, we have a couple of storm systems on the way from Saturday night through Wednesday.

Temps today are the big storm. The west and south can settle into the 80-85 degree range, while the north shoots for the low and middle 70s. That’s an area where we have a shot at a few storms going up.  There’s still the chance for a few strong storms in the north. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

As we head into Saturday, we have another very windy and warm day taking shape on a strong southwest flow. This is ahead of a potent storm wrapping up from the plains states and moving into the Ohio Valley. That drags a cold front across the state Saturday night with a line of strong to severe storms possible:

Here’s the Saturday risk for Severe Storms from the Storm Prediction Center:

Again, that risk would roll east into the wee hours of Sunday morning. High winds are the main threat and the EURO is spitting out some 50mph gusts:

Cooler and drier winds will be blowing on Sunday as temps hit the 60s. Those winds will be cranking through the day.

After a calm Monday, the next system rolls in here to end March and kick start April:

That continues to look pretty ugly, but may not be as cool as what the models were showing in previous days.

I leave you with your tracking toys for the day:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a good one and take care.

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A little bit of May weather

Good Thursday, folks. Our temperatures continue to run on the milder side of the thermometer and this will continue to be the case through the start of the weekend. After that, the stormy setup looks to return to the Commonwealth.

Temps today and Friday continue to look absolutely amazing. Check out the numbers:

TODAY

FRIDAY

With the cold front holding off until Saturday night, this means our Saturday numbers will also be way up there:

That front may have a line of strong to severe storms along it as it sweeps in from the west:

Temps behind this only come down into the 60s for Sunday and Monday as gusty winds continue.

Once we get into the middle of next week, April looks to start with another potent storm system. This may have some cold air to work with and the EURO is still taking on a very ugly look:

UGLY.

Have a great day and take care.

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Milder weather kicks in

Good Wednesday to one and all. We have a blast of awesome spring weather working into central and eastern Kentucky for the next several days. This means a taste of May-like temperatures kicking in.

Let’s start with today and look ahead. Morning clouds will give way to an afternoon mix of sun and clouds as temps return to the 60s.

Temps by Thursday and Friday will be in the 70s with the potential for low 80 degree temps for some. Check out the numbers showing up through Saturday:

THURSDAY

FRIDAY

SATURDAY

Wow, that’s some warm stuff on the way!

Scattered showers and storms will be possible by Friday, but many areas remain on the dry side. Thunderstorms will move in as a cold front sweeps in late Saturday:

Temps will come down behind this, but how much of a drop is still in question.

The models diverge greatly into next week with the European Model actually showing some ugly to start April:

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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Rain and some storms roll back in

Good Tuesday to one and all. It’s a milder day in the bluegrass state, but showers and thunderstorms are rolling back through. This continues to be part of a very active pattern that will also feature May-like temps later in the week.

As always, we begin with today and move forward. Showers and storms increase this afternoon and evening for most of our region. Locally heavy rains of around 1″ will be possible.

There’s also the threat for a few stronger storms, especially in the south and southwest. Here’s today’s Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

Temps warm behind this start to feel more like MAY. Highs on Wednesday will reach the 60s before they surge for Thursday and Friday:

THURSDAY

FRIDAY

We may flirt with record highs in some areas.

This is ahead of another storm system that appears ready to bring another round of strong storms and heavy rains from late Friday through Saturday night:

Cooler winds will blow behind that by Sunday and Monday, but the numbers bounce back up through the middle of next week. That may also come with another storm system.

I leave you with your tracking toys for the day:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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Another active week of weather

Good Monday, folks. We have a wet start to the week and that’s a sign of things to come. Additional rounds of showers and storms are on the weather menu for this week, with the potential for strong storms to show back up.

Let’s begin with today and hit the fast-forward button. Temps are in the 50s for highs with showers across the region. Much of this action is focused on the first half of the day, with better weather showing up late today. Here are your tracking toys to get you through the day:

As that action pulls away late today, our focus is on a stronger system moving in for Tuesday. This bowling ball of a low pressure is going to work west-east on top of the region, bringing showers and strong storms:

Areas south of the warm front have the best potential for seeing the strong to severe storms. The SPC continues to highlight much of Kentucky in the risk area:

Temps behind this absolutely take off. Wednesday should be in the 60s to near 70, but Thursday and Friday may feel like May. Highs are deep into the 70s with an 80 possible. Humidity levels will also increase big time. Throw in a slow moving system and the recipe is there for more strong to severe storms and potential heavy rains:

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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More rain on the way

Good Sunday to one and all. We continue in a very active weather pattern as we wait on the next system to roll in here later today. This will bring more rain to the region, with another one right behind it for Tuesday. That may bring the threat for severe storms with it.

Temps today will come up compared to what we had Saturday, but we will still be dealing with plenty of clouds. Those clouds will bring rain in here by evening and there could even be a rumble of thunder across the south.

This action continues into early Monday and we could see local high water in the south and southeast. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

All this is ahead of a more potent system working from west to east Tuesday and Tuesday night. Heavy rain and severe storms are possible with this feature. The Storm Prediction Center has the region in a sever weather risk:

Temps spike deep into the 70s for the second half of the week as we watch a few more storms fire up. That may lead us into another strong to severe storms threat by the weekend.

The GFS rainfall forecast over the next 7 days shows the active pattern:

I leave you with your tracking toys for the day:

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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A dry start to the weekend

Good Saturday, everyone. It’s a much drier and cooler day across the Commonwealth and this looks to take us into much of Sunday. Once into Sunday evening, we are back in some rain and that kicks off another active and wet setup.

Let’s start with where things are today. Readings this morning can reach the freezing mark or below. The rest of the day looks good with a mix of sun and clouds and temps ranging from the upper 40s to middle 50s.

Sunday starts cold and ends with clouds increasing ahead of another wet weather maker. Showers work in later in the day and take us through Monday:

As that exits, a stronger system looks to bring heavy rain and a few strong storms in here for late Tuesday and Wednesday:

Temps rebound VERY quickly behind this, but additional rounds of strong storms are possible as the week wears on. Temps may hit the 70s next week.

That’s all part of a warmer than normal setup that continues to show up. Look at the 10 day temp anomalies from the Euro Ensembles:

That goes into the first few days of April.

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