Steamy temps bring storms back

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s a very steamy day across Kentucky as summertime air returns to the region. This steamy air will bring more rounds of showers and storms in here for the next several days. Beyond that, our overall pattern depends on what happens with a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps are generally in the mid and upper 80s for many with 90 possible for some. Throw in the high humidity levels and the heat index will top 90 for most. A scattered shower or storm will blow up during the day, but the main action drops in from the northwest tonight. This line of storms could be strong or severe and the Storm Prediction Center is highlighting this potential across the northern half of the state:

The threat then focuses farther south for Thursday as clusters of strong to severe storms target the entire state. Here’s the Thursday Severe Weather Outlook:

A similar setup is likely for Friday as a cold front slows down on top of the region. How far south does this front get for the weekend? That will be the determining factor on how much our temps come down from late Saturday through Monday.

Tropical Storm Cristobal continues to SLOWLY meander in the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico. This will slowly turn north and strengthen:

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

Here’s the forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

The models continue to bring this onshore in Louisiana or Texas late weekend and early next week. From there, the storm slowly works north through the Mississippi Valley and has a chance to impact our weather next week:

EURO

CANADIAN

I leave you with your Wednesday storm tracking tools:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a terrific day and take care.

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Steamy temps and rounds of storms ready to return

Good Tuesday, everyone. It’s another great looking day across the state, but our temps are beginning to climb. This climb kicks off another steamy and stormy setup across central and eastern Kentucky. Boooo!

Temps today are back into the 80s for the entire area as humidity levels inch up. Our sky continues to look awesome, so enjoy the day.

The muggy meter really ramps up for Wednesday as temps make a run at 90 in a few spots, especially in the west. A cold front slowly drops in from the northwest Wednesday night and Thursday and this front looks active. The potential is there for strong to severe storms along the boundary and the Storm Prediction Center is watching that threat for Wednesday:

Additional rounds of storms continue through Friday and into early Saturday as our front sags to the south. That should bring some refreshing air in here for the weekend. The Euro takes us below normal once again:

What happens as this point will have a lot to do with our developing system in the southern Gulf of Mexico:

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

The models continue to bring this toward the central and western Gulf Coast states and it may become a hurricane. There’s a shot at this system impacting our weather early next week:

EURO

CANADIAN

Have a happy Tuesday and take care.

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June starts with more awesome weather

Good Monday to one and all. June is kicking off on a very nice weather note, but that’s about to change as steamy air surges in from the southwest. This will lead to toasty temps and high humidity levels, with storm clusters setting up later in the week. As this happens, we will be watching for a potential tropical system in the Gulf. Yep… It’s going to get active again.

Today starts with near record lows in the low 40s across the eastern half of the state. By the afternoon, most areas are into the low 70s east and low 80s in the far west. Skies remain awesome!

Temps spike into the 80s for Tuesday as we start to steam it up a bit. This steamy air really settles in on Wednesday as the numbers make a run at 90 in the west:

A weak front drops in from the northwest and brings a few storms into the region Wednesday night and Thursday. Given the orientation of this front and a ballooning heat ridge to our west, complexes of storms may roll in from the northwest through the end of the week into the weekend. The EURO actually drops that front to our south by Saturday, bringing another shot of below normal air:

At the same time, we may very well be talking about a named storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico. We’ve talked about this for more than a week and it’s now showing up on the Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center:

That system may slowly lift northward toward the north and may impact the US in a week or so. The operational models will struggle with what to do with this:

Can this impact the weather around here? It has a chance,but is far from being a certainty.

Temps are likely to remain very warm through next week, but signs are showing up for the next shot of below normal temps around the middle of the month:

This could be a continuation of our back and forth temp pattern!

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Breaking down the pattern ahead

Good Sunday, folks. May is wrapping up on an absolutely awesome weather note out there today and this rolls into early June. Enjoy this weather gravy train because things will flip back to steamy and stormy by the middle of next week.

Let’s get this weather party started with the weather headlines for the week ahead:

  • Temps today into Monday are very similar with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s show up. Lows by Monday morning are into the pleasant 40s to begin the month of June.
  • Temps begin to climb on Tuesday, but we keep the weather dry.
  • The numbers surge deep into the 80s for Wednesday as humidity levels climb into the uncomfortable level.
  • A cold front approaches from the north by Thursday, bringing the potential for thunderstorms back in here.
  • As the front slows down, rounds of storms may also show up from Friday into next weekend.
  • We will be on the cusp of some real heat building across the plains during this time.

If we look much longer down the road, the European Weeklies go through the middle of July and now show a pretty toasty setup for most of the country:

Notice how it’s also showing a very dry look at the same time:

That would be the driest stretch of weather since last September, but you should also take that with a grain of salt. That’s especially true given the potential for tropical systems in the Gulf of Mexico.

Have a great day and take care.

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Awesome weather arrives

Good Saturday to one and all. It’s a much better weather day taking shape across central and eastern Kentucky. This actually kicks off a superb period that takes us through the first few days of June. Woot!

Temps out there today are mainly in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s just a small chance for a popup shower across the east and southeast, but most look dry.

Sunday is a gorgeous final day of May as temps hit the upper 60s to low 70s with a sunny sky and low humidity. Monday starts June and it looks to start out on a borderline chilly note with temps deep into the 40s for many:

Monday is another much cooler than normal day.

Temps rebound quickly from west to east by Tuesday and may turn very steamy on Wednesday. The EURO is bringing 90 into the state:

A cold front drops in here with an increase in storms on Thursday. As the heat continues to build into the plains and Mississippi Valley, it puts us in a region that could feature thunderstorm clusters rolling in:

The Gulf of Mexico needs to be watched during this time for a potential tropical system. The models go back and forth on this thing, but the Euro is showing it:

Have a happy Saturday and take care.

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A big time cold front blows in

Good Friday to one and all. We have a cold front blasting the region today, bringing more rounds of showers and storms. The big news is what comes behind this front for the final few days of May and the beginning of June. Temps are going to be absolutely awesome during this time.

oday’s showers and storms are scattered early, but may come together into more of a line this afternoon and evening. There’s still a low end threat for a strong or severe storm going up. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

This action sweeps through pretty quickly this evening, then it’s game on toward some fantastic weather. Saturday highs are in the 70-75 degree range for many with a mix of sun and clouds. That sets the stage for lows in the 40s by Sunday morning across central and eastern Kentucky:

Highs on Sunday may not make it above 70 in some areas. Lows by Monday morning may flirt with a record or two for the first day of June:

Temps are back to around 70 in the east and upper 70s west.

Temps begin to warm on Tuesday and most of us are deep into the 80s Wednesday. That will be ahead of a weak front dropping in from the north. That boundary may make it into Kentucky then slow down as a big heat ridge builds into the plains and Mississippi Valley. The Euro wants to put our region on the cusp of the real deal heat late next week into the following weekend. That could put us in the ring of fire for big thunderstorm complexes dropping in from the northwest:

Check out the heat the EURO is bringing toward us during this time:

Here are your Friday storm tracking tools:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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More storms before a big cool shot

Good Thursday to one and all. It’s another super muggy and stormy day across our part of the world. Rounds of thunderstorms continue to develop well ahead of a cold front that slides in here on Friday. Once we get that front through here, the weather turns AMAZING for the close of May and beginning of June.

Let’s start with today and fast-forward. The air is still very tropical feeling, but the temps are down some. Still, rounds of showers and storms blow up and could be on the strong side. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of the state in a low-end risk for severe storms:

High winds and hail are the main threats to watch for. In addition to the local severe threat, flash flooding is once again a concern. Storms could put down a quick inch or two of rain in a short amount of time.

Storms will continue through Friday as we wait on a cold front to arrive. That potent cold front will bring absolutely amazing weather in here to end May and begin June. Humidity levels crash on Saturday as a dry wind kicks in. Highs are in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Some areas reach the 40s by Sunday morning and may not get to 70 for a high on the final day of May:

Lows for the first morning of June on Monday:

Highs for the start of Meteorological Summer are very cool:

Temps do rebound into the 80s by the middle of next week, but the EURO is bringing another front in here before the week is over:

We will also need to watch the Gulf of Mexico for potential tropical development late next week through the following week. Following Bertha yesterday, that could be our third named storm of the super young season.

Here are your Thursday storm tracking tools:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a terrific day and take care.

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Rounds of storms roll on

Good Wednesday, folks. It’s a very steamy and stormy setup and this rolls on for a few more days. Once into the weekend, our pattern flips back to awesome as much cooler air pulls back into town.

Today is the same as the past few days. Rounds of storms go up with a few strong ones possible. With the amount of tropical moisture in the air, we are likely to see torrential rains that can lead to high water issues.

Both of those threats will increase for Thursday and Friday as our front gets closer. The Storm Prediction Center has a low-end risk for severe storms on Thursday:

Once the cold front clears the region Friday night, cool air surges in to end May and begin June. We have covered this potential for almost two weeks now and it looks to pan out again.

Highs from Saturday through Tuesday are generally in the low and mid 70s. A few spots may be closer to the 70 degree mark and that comes with low humidity and mainly sunny skies. Wow!

Lows may flirt with a few record lows:

SUNDAY MORNING

MONDAY MORNING

TUESDAY MORNING

Temps will rebound to normal or a little above normal by the end of next week. It’s by this time we may have to watch for something developing in the Gulf of Mexico.

Recent runs of the GFS have been showing this well:

Here are your mid-week storm tracking toys:

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Rounds of storms continue

Good Tuesday, folks.  It’s another steamy day across central and eastern Kentucky and that’s leading to a few more storms. These rounds of storms continue through the rest of the week, then we change it up for the weekend into early June.

Let’s begin with today and roll ahead. We are dealing with another very warm and humid day, leading to additional rounds of storms. Just like the past several days, any storm that goes up can be briefly severe and put down enough rain to cause flash flooding.

This is a trend that continues through the end of the week. That’s when a cold front marches in by late Friday and Saturday. This could touch off greater coverage of strong storms and torrential rains.

Here’s the setup between now and the front arriving:

The air behind this turns amazing as we close May and say hello to June. Highs from Sunday through, at least Monday, will likely be in the low and middle 70s. Lows may flirt with records:

Sunday Morning

Monday Morning

That will be a below normal temp pattern that likely flips back to warm by the middle of next week. Maybe this is the trend we are seeing for early summer… Back and forth temps.

I leave you with your Tuesday storm trackers:

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Steam and some storms continue

Good Sunday, everyone. Memorial Day Weekend is the unofficial kickoff to summer, but Mother Nature seems to be getting a jump on things. Temps are steamy this weekend and this is a trend that takes us through the rest of the month. Unfortunately, a few storms look to crash in here.

Let’s start with today and look ahead. Highs are generally 80-85 for much of central and eastern Kentucky. High humidity levels make it feel even a little warmer than that. And, of course, you can’t have a summer pattern without a few thunderstorms.

Here are your tracking toys for this Sunday:

This isn’t all day stuff, but some hit and run storms may crash a few cookouts. Have that backup plan to be safe.

What does the week ahead hold? Let’s break it down for ya:

  • Memorial Day will feature highs in the low and middle 80s with even more humidity. That will lead to a heat index around 90. A stray shower or storm will also be noted.
  • This pattern looks to persist through most of next week. That means more warm and muggy air.
  • Highs are generally in the 80s with lows in the 60s. Sure sounds like summer to me!
  • With the warm and muggy air will come the daily threat for a few showers and storms. This isn’t widespread stuff, but we will see a few boomers each day.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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