Toasty temps for a few more days

Good Tuesday, folks. Our stretch of warm and humid weather has a few more days left before cooler changes blow in for the end of the week. This change will take us from above normal to below normal for the first full week of June.

Highs Tuesday will again be in the middle 80s in most areas. Skies stay sunny, with just a small threat of an isolated shower or thunderstorm.

Wednesday could see highs climb into the upper 80s before some late-day storms push in. Those storms increase Thursday and Friday ahead of a strong cold front. This front will knock our temps way down for the weekend and into next week.

The models are all pretty gung-ho on this thing. Check out the GFS ensembles :

GFS 3

The European model for the first three days of next week:

Euro

Looking much farther down the road, the latest CFS seasonal run for summer temps:

CFS

I can’t really argue too much with that, as I expect temps to be near normal. This should include a couple hot spells around here. That might especially be the case late in summer as things turn drier.

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Changes on the way this week

Good Monday, everyone. Let me begin by remembering all those who gave their lives protecting this great country. That is what our Memorial Day is all about! It’s also known as the unofficial kickoff to summer, and mother nature is doing her part to make it feel that way.

While the week starts off toasty, it will end with cooler changes blowing into town.

Highs today will be deep into the muggy 80s with the threat for a scattered shower or thunderstorm going up. No, this is not a recording.

Temps over the next few days will come up a few degrees, and Wednesday could bring the first 90 degree temps to our part of the world. Storm chances come down a bit, but increase late Thursday into Friday.

This is when a strong cold front moves in with cooler air coming in behind it for next weekend. A lingering shower or thunderstorm will also be possible.

The models are going for a MUCH cooler than normal setup next week for much of the country. Check out the deep dip in the jet stream from the European Model:

Euro

That looks like something out of wintertime!

Make it a magnificent Memorial Day and take care.

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Changes for early June

Good Sunday, everyone. Our long Memorial Day weekend continues to feature some steam and scattered storms in our part of the world. This overall setup has several more days of similar weather before big changes move in.

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before… Highs today will be in the muggy 80s with the potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Memorial Day features more of the same, and that same forecast carries us through the middle of next week. Of course, that’s the start of June, and is the official start of meteorological summer. Wouldn’t you know it, this is when the pattern starts to turn cooler.

Here comes a strong cold front late Thursday into Friday:

Euro

The air coming in behind that is waaaaayyy below normal for much of the country…

Euro 3

There is also the potential for a cutoff low to form across the region into the first full week of the new month:

GFS

If that’s the case, this could be another run of ugly weather days similar to what we’ve had for most of May.

Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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Steamy temps and scattered storms

Good Saturday, and welcome to the Memorial Day Weekend. The weather continues to feature more of the same with scattered storms and steamy temperatures. This overall pattern should hang tough for the next several days, but cooler changes are on the way.

Highs today will be back into the middle 80s for many. Some upper 80s will also be possible with high humidity levels adding to the mix. Scattered storms will also go up, and I have you set to track it all:

 

This same setup will carry us through the Memorial Day weekend, and likely into the first couple of days of June.

From this point, we start to see things changing in a big way. The jet stream starts to buckle with a deep dip showing up across the eastern part of the country…

GFS TEMPS 2

Check out how much cooler than normal the ensembles are…

GFS TEMPS 1

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

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More of the same for the holiday weekend

Good Friday to one and all. Our Memorial Day weekend is kicking off with some steam and scattered storms. Sound familiar? It’s where we have been for the past few days, and it’s where we are going for the rest of the month.

Any storm out there Friday will be able to feast upon the warm and juicy air, to create some heavy rain producing showers and storms. A few spots could pick up enough to cause some high-water problems.

You can track the day:

This steamy and stormy setup takes us into the first few days of June. Then some changes start to take place. It’s looking as if another cool pattern tries to settle in:

GFS TEMPS 2

The models are also keeping much of the country very wet over the next few weeks:

GFS 2

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Memorial Day weekend forecast

Good Thursday to one and all. We have a nice summer preview moving into our part of the world, and that will hang on into the big Memorial Day weekend. If you’re a fan of steamy temps and scattered storms, this is the pattern for you.

Let’s start with the weather out there Thursday.

Highs will range from the low to middle 80s in many areas. A mix of hazy sun and clouds will be likely as scattered showers and thunderstorms develop. Any storm that comes along will be able to put down a lot of rain.

Here are your Thursday tracking tools:

Friday looks similar, but highs could climb a few more degrees. They should hit the mid- and upper 80s in some spots.

There is very little change for the big weekend ahead. Here’s the forecast:

special

The overall setup over the next few weeks will continue to throw some clusters of storms our way.

The GFS two week rainfall numbers…

GFS Rain

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Tracking storms back into the region

Good Wednesday, everyone. Summer air is pushing into Central and Eastern Kentucky, and is bringing some storms along for the ride. This steamy and stormy pattern will carry us through the Memorial Day weekend.

Temps out there Wednesday might be all over the place, with the sun and storms doing a little battle. Areas getting in on the storms might see highs in the upper 70s to around 80. Outside of any storms, highs shoot up into the middle 80s.

Track summer into the region:

Daytime highs through Memorial Day will range from the low to upper 80s. It all depends on what happens with the daily threat of showers and storms where you live. That storm chance is real over the weekend:

GFS

This will be a very muggy period that takes on a tropical feel. Speaking of which, that system we pointed out a few days ago is showing up well off the southeastern seaboard. The GFS from above takes whatever it is into the Carolinas.

Enjoy your Wednesday and take care.

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Steam and some storms ahead

Good Tuesday to one and all. What a gorgeous day we have going on out there. Highs in the low 80s under a partly sunny sky. As we inch closer to the Memorial Day weekend, steamy temps and scattered storms take center stage.

Let’s start with Tuesday’s dose of awesomeness:

Humidity will increase with the threat of some showers and storms Wednesday:

GFS

A few of those could be strong or severe, especially in the west.

The forecast from this point is pretty straightforward, with toasty temps, high humidity and the threat of some showers and storms. Any one day over the holiday weekend can have highs flirt with 90 degrees:

GFS Temps

A few weeks ago, I made the declaration that I thought the pattern could give us a 90-degree day in the days leading up to Memorial Day. That was a pretty bold call given how cool and wet things were. But, when did I ever shy away from being bold? Weather forecasting isn’t for wimps! :)

The one thing that can keep us from flirting with 90: thunderstorms. It does look like a daily threat of some thunderstorms will be with us:

Euro

With such incredible humidity levels for the month of May, any storm could be severe and put down flash-flooding rains.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Summer air moves in

Good Monday to one and all. We are finally seeing much better weather rolling into the region. As a matter of fact, it continues to look more and more as if summer is ready to kick in a little early this year.

Highs Monday will range from 75 to 80 in most areas under a mostly sunny sky. This is absolutely gorgeous and will run through Tuesday, with highs hitting the lower 80s.

This is when we start to see summer weather really moving in. High humidity moves in Wednesday and could help spawn some big thunderstorms:

Canadian

The pattern setting up for the second half of next week through Memorial Day looks steamy and stormy:

GFS 2

Borderline high temperatures could give us our first taste of 90-degrees at some point:

GFS Temps

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be common during this time. With such high humidity, this is a setup for some severe storms that can dump a ton of rain.

This pattern sure sounds like a stormy and steamy start to summer in the Bluegrass State.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Summer shows up this week

Good Sunday, everyone. We have MUCH better weather slowly  rolling our way for the week ahead. Our much colder than normal temperatures will soon turn steamy in the days ahead. With the surge in summer comes the potential for more… Storms. Sigh.

There is a small chance for a shower across the eastern half of the region today, but most areas stay dry with highs in the low 70s.

Monday’s weather looks much better with sun and 75-80 for most areas. We should see temps sneaking into the low 80s for Tuesday as humidity levels increase. This will lead to rounds of thunderstorms rolling back in for Wednesday:

Canadian

This will unleash a very tropical feeling environment across the region. Humidity levels take off for the second half of the week and this carries us through Memorial Day Weekend. Check out the dewpoints…

GFS TEMPS 2

Forecast temps continue to make a run at 90 degrees…

GFS TEMPS 1

Guess what comes along with the heat and humidity? Rounds of showers and storms…

GFS 2

With so much heat and humidity available, this could finally set the severe weather season off. It could also mean some additional big rain events cause problems in our neck of the woods.

Make it a great day and take care.

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