Changes brewing for next week

Good Saturday and welcome to a gorgeous fall weekend. Windy and mild weather will continue to rule for the next couple of days. Make sure to enjoy it, because some big changes are coming our way into next week.

The forecast continues to be pretty straightforward Saturday and Sunday. Highs will top out in the upper 60s to near 70 in many areas, with winds cranking up. Skies will be partly sunny as a weak cold front passes. I can’t rule out a few sprinkles as it works in.

Current temperatures

Highs on Sunday will come down a few degrees, to the mid- and upper 60s across the board. Enjoy the weekend!

Monday looks even warmer, with highs well into the 70s and another day of gusty winds. This sets the stage for a strong cold front to arrive by Tuesday, with late showers and thunderstorms:

Euro

Gusty showers will continue into Wednesday as colder air pours in from the northwest. Highs will be back in the 50s into the middle of the week.

Another cold front looks to arrive by Friday, and that will knock our temps way down:

 

 

GFSWill there be a storm that develops along the boundary? It’s a possibility, and that’s something for us to watch. Either way, the models have a cold Halloween weekend in store for our region:

GFS 2Have a great day and take care.

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Better weather for the weekend

Good Friday and welcome to a much better weather pattern. The timing on the nice weather couldn’t be any better. It’s the weekend, the fall colors are reaching their peak and Kentucky has a big football game at Commonwealth Stadium. Thanks, Mother Nature!

Highs today will reach 60 to 65 degrees under partly sunny skies. I can’t rule out a small shower early in the day, but most areas will stay dry.

Current temperatures

High school football fans will enjoy a nice evening, with temps in the 50s.

Saturday will find highs nearing the 70-degree mark on a strong southwesterly wind. Skies should stay dry as a weak front works in from the north. That knocks temps down a few degrees on Sunday as we hang on to the sunshine.

Monday looks mild, with highs in the 70s. That’s ahead of a strong cold front that arrives late Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers and a few storms will be likely as the front passes through:

Euro 2

The models continue to point toward a big plunge of cold air arriving for Halloween weekend. The GFS even hints at the first flakes of snow:GFS 2

If that comes to pass, it would make for some very interesting weather for trick-or-treaters making their candy rounds.

The air behind that system is very cold:

GFS TEMPS 1We still have a week to work to go, so let’s see how this thing shakes out in the coming days.

Enjoy the day and take care.

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Looking down the weather road

Good Thursday to one and all. As the weekend approaches, our weather pattern is looking much milder. That’s some good news for those who are sick of the chilly and gloomy conditions we’ve had of late.

What about the look further down the weather road? Some interesting things are showing up, and I will share those in a bit.

Let’s start with Thursday. Many areas will wake up to frost on the pumpkins, with lows in the 30s. The afternoon looks better, with highs nearing 60 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

A weak system moves in Friday and might produce a few sprinkles or a light shower. The NAM future radar shows a very small risk:

NAM

Highs tomorrow will be in the low 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. Milder air surges in for Saturday as highs make a run at 70 on a strong southwesterly wind flow. Those numbers look to get knocked down several degrees behind a weak cold front for Sunday:EuroConditions still look nice for much of the weekend, with mainly dry skies.

Monday should be the warmest day, with highs in the 70-75 degree range ahead of a cold front. That front sweeps in Tuesday, with showers and thunderstorms and cooler air. Another front might arrive around Halloween, and that’s something I will be updating you on in the coming days.

The new JAMSTEC seasonal model is out with the outlook for the upcoming winter. Here are two important factors it’s picking up on:

Japan Model

It still shows the warm pool of water off the west coast into the Gulf of Alaska. It also shows a weak El Nino becoming central based. Those two are pretty good to see together if you’re a fan of winter weather. Sure enough, the December-February period looks like this:Japan Model 2A colder than normal winter with above normal precipitation could get interesting. That’s assuming the model is correct. ;)

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking a better-looking weekend

Good Wednesday, everyone. We continue to be in the middle of a chilly and windy pattern. Hang in there: Much better weather looks to push into the region for the weekend.

The short-term forecast features more of the same, with highs Wednesday in the low and mid-50s with gusty winds. Those winds will make it feel even colder. There is a small threat of a shower in the far east.

Current temperatures

Lows by Thursday morning will be in the 30s, and we could see some frost to begin the day. The afternoon looks better, with highs approaching 60 and a mix of sun and clouds.

I’m watching a weak system moving in for Friday, and that could touch off a scattered shower or two. Here’s the simulated radar from the NAM:

NAM

Temps by the weekend will take off, with highs reaching the mid-60s and low 70s under partly sunny skies.

That nice weather should carry us into Monday, with highs surging well into the 70s. That will be ahead of our next cold front, which arrives late Tuesday:

GFS 2Colder air will then move in by the middle of next week as the front pushes to our east.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Windy and chilly weather continues

Good Tuesday, everyone. A big storm is just developing across the Eastern Seaboard, and it will keep Kentucky in the chill for a few more days. If you’re a fan of blustery days and crisp nights, this is the week for you.

Here is what this storm looks like through Wednesday:

NAMNotice how the wind barbs are all coming from the north and northeast. That’s a very chilly flow around that nor’easter. It might throw a few more showers our way as highs stay in the 50s Tuesday. Those gusty winds will make it feel much colder.

The lower-than-normal temperatures will hang tough through the next several days. Take a look at the high-temperature departure from normal on the GFS:

GFSOvernight lows through Friday are likely to drop into the 30s for much of Central and Eastern Kentucky.

The early call for the weekend is for better weather to move in. Highs should hit the upper 60s to near 70, with mainly dry weather.

The GFS is keeping the much higher-than-normal temps well to our west:

GFS 2  I think many of you will take that as the fall colors reach their peak this weekend.

I leave you with your tracking toys of the day:

Current temperatures

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

Have a great day and take care.

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Chilly winds continue to blow

Good Monday and welcome to a brand-new work week.  Chilly air rolls on across Central and Eastern Kentucky as we watch a big storm along the east coast. That system will throw a shower our way, but the blustery conditions will take center stage.

Highs Monday will hit the upper 50s to low 60s in most areas as clouds increase. Those clouds will spit our scattered showers late in the day.

Current temperatures

The best chance comes our way Monday night and Tuesday as the storm cranks to our east. Winds will really increase around this potent storm as colder air continues to funnel from the north:

GFS

That storm will be a super-slow mover along the northeastern seaboard. Most of the rain with that will stay to our east, but a shower will be possible into Wednesday.

Colder-than-normal air should take us into Thursday and Friday. Some of the models might warm us up this weekend. The GFS is showing highs in the 70s before a cold front arrives early next week:

GFS 2The European Model isn’t nearly as warm and brings that front in Sunday instead of Tuesday. One of the reasons we’re seeing the models differ is because we might see a tropical system develop in the Gulf over the next few days.

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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A chilly week ahead

Good Sunday to one and all. We’re getting ready to wrap up a very chilly weekend here in the bluegrass state. This looks to hang tough into the upcoming work week as temps average well below normal.

Let’s start things out with where we are and roll forward.

Our Sunday begins with patchy frost and temps in the 30s, but will end with some sun and highs in the mid to upper 50s. Overall, this is a pleasant fall day.

Current temperatures

Another system will shoot in here from the northwest on Monday. That will bring an increase in showers during the afternoon and evening:

Euro 2Winds will gust up as temps stay on the chilly side with 50s for highs. Those showers should continue into Tuesday as our system develops into a massive nor’easter.  That will cause even colder air to be funneled in here on a strong north to northeasterly wind flow:

EuroWe could also see another shower or two trying to develop, especially across the eastern parts of the state. Any day that features clouds and showers may find temps struggling to get to 50 degrees for a high.

That system is so potent, snows may fly as close by as the West Virginia mountains.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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Tracking another chilly shot

Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. The one day mild spell is now a thing of the past as chilly air surges back in from the north. This blast of chill will set the stage for patchy frost late tonight and Sunday morning.

The front swinging in early today may have a few showers filling in behind it. The greatest chance will be across the eastern half of the state. Winds will be very gusty and that will make temps in the 50s feel more like the 40s at times.

Current temperatures

Skies will clear this evening as the cold air continues to settle in. This will set the stage for readings to drop into the low and mid 30s for most of central and eastern Kentucky:

GFS

Frost is a real possibility by Sunday morning. Green thumbs should take necessary precautions.

Highs Sunday afternoon will reach the mid and upper 50s under mostly sunny skies.

The new week will start with another system working our way from the northwest. This will likely spit out numerous showers late Monday into Tuesday. Those will be chilly and feature gusty winds adding to the chill.

That same system then blows up once it reaches the east coast by Wednesday:

Euro 2That will keep the chilly air going strong around here on a gusty northeasterly wind flow. We could even see a shower or two from that system.

Colder than normal temperatures will hang tough through next week.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Chilly weather returns for the weekend

Good Friday to one and all. We have a gorgeous day to kick off the weekend in the Bluegrass State. This might be the nicest day of the entire month, and I suggest you take full advantage of it. Another blast of chill returns for the weekend.

Let’s start things out with how nice Friday really is. Highs will hit the upper 60s to low 70s under partly sunny skies. Winds will gust as a cold front drops toward the region from the north.

That front arrives Saturday with a few showers and gusty winds:

GFSHighs will be in the 50s, but the winds will make it feel colder than that.

Sunday is likely to dawn with frost on the pumpkins and temperatures in the 30s. Afternoon highs will hit the mid- and upper 50s with partly sunny skies.

Another system works in late Monday and Tuesday. That will reinforce the chilly air with rounds of showers working back in:

GFS 2That could get a little ugly, with gusty winds accompanying the chilly air and showers. That storm really begins to crank along the northeastern shoreline by the middle of the week:

GFS 3That would give us more chilly and windy weather through the rest of the week.

Outside of Friday, this is a very chilly pattern for the second part of October.

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking a weekend cold blast

Good Thursday, folks. The weather over the past few days has been about as ugly as it can get during such a pretty time of year. The fall colors have been the only signs of nice, and that should be the case again Thursday.

I am tracking some much prettier weather in the region for the weekend. That might come with a frosty price, though, as another cold shot settles into town.

Numerous showers will with us again Thursday as highs hang in the mid- and upper 50s. There might be some breaks in the clouds late in the day across the western parts of our region.

Current temperatures

The whole mess finally pulls away on Friday with a gorgeous day. Highs will press close to 70 with a partly sunny sky and a gusty southwesterly wind kicking up.

Don’t get spoiled by it, because another cold front shows up early Saturday with a small chance of a shower. That front ushers in chilly air for Saturday and Sunday. Highs look to be in the 50s:

GFS 3

Frost is a strong possibility by Sunday morning as lows head deep into the 30s. That threat might hang tough into Monday:

GFS 2The overall setup for next week will feature lower-than-normal temperatures. This could include another shot of chilly showers late Monday and Tuesday.

Enjoy your day and take care.

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