Cooler changes later this week

Good Sunday to one and all. We’re putting the wraps on a scorcher of a weather weekend here in central and eastern Kentucky. The hottest air of the season waited until the end of August to get here, but it’s doing some work on us right now.

This hot spell has a few more days left in the tank, but some cooler changes show up as we flip the calendar to September. I doubt many of you will complain about that.

Let’s start with today before we roll into the week ahead.

Highs will be back into the upper 80s to low 90s with a heat index approaching 100 degrees again. Scattered showers and storms will also be possible, and a few of those could be strong.

Monday’s weather looks an awful lot like what we have out there today. Temps by Tuesday and Wednesday come down just a few degrees with the threat for scattered storms continuing.

With a slower developing tropical system likely in the Gulf of Mexico, this allows for a cold front to drop in here on Thursday. That front may not have much moisture to work with, but a nice push of cool is showing up behind it by Friday:

GFS Temps 2

The GFS highs for Friday:

GFS Temps

Lows by Saturday morning look good:

GFS Temps 3

Temps should rebound to above normal for the rest of the holiday weekend, but not to the levels we are seeing now.

Have a great day and take care.

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An endless summer pattern

Good Saturday and welcome to the final weekend of August. Mother nature is bringing the heat to the Bluegrass State. This air will continue to be rather tropical feeling and could produce some scattered storms.

Here’s a breakdown:

  • The most impressive heat of the summer has engulfed the Bluegrass State in the final days of August.
  • I continue to see signs that this pattern might hold into the early part of September, but a lot of that hinges on the tropics.
  •  Highs Saturday and Sunday will range from 90 to 95 degrees, with a hit index flirting with 100 degrees at times.
  • Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to increase, with the greatest coverage across the western half of the state.
  • This is where the models continue to put down some pretty substantial rain totals into the middle of next week:

GFS

I leave you with your friendly weather tracking tools for the day:

Have a great day and take care.

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A hot and humid weekend

Good Friday, everyone. This is a big late-summer surge in heat and humidity taking control of our weather. This pattern might be hard to shake as we roll into the next week or so.

Highs Friday will range from the upper 80s to the low 90s. Heat index values will hit 95 to 100 degrees at times. Ouch! There is the chance of a shower or thunderstorm.

If you’re heading out to a high school football game, plan on sweating:

special 2I have you all set to track the steam and the scattered storms:

A scattering of showers and thunderstorms will be possible into the weekend, but the temps will steal the show. Highs will run in the low 90s, with a heat index flirting with 100 degrees at times.

Scattered showers and storms continue into early next week as our focus shifts toward a possible tropical system in the Gulf. That could affect our weather in some form.

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking steamy temps and scattered storms

Good Thursday to one and all. We are again in the tropical-feeling weather environment across Central and Eastern Kentucky. This will bring hot and humid weather, and a daily threat of a shower or thunderstorm. If you’re thinking that sounds familiar, you’re right. It’s basically the same pattern we’ve been in all summer long.

It’s pretty simple as far as the forecast goes through the weekend and early next week. Daytime highs will range from the middle 80s to the low 90s, with humidity making it feel much, much hotter. A daily threat of showers and storms will also be with us.

Here’s what you need to track Thursday’s action:

The models are ramping it up a notch over the weekend. Check out the rainfall numbers through Tuesday:

GFS

From there, it’s all about what happens in the tropics. The models continue to struggle (as they should from days away) with what should become hurricane Hermine. The European model shows this crossing southern Florida late this weekend and early next week:

Euro

From there, the latest run takes it toward the Florida Panhandle:

Euro 2

Have a terrific Thursday and take care.

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Back to summer

Good Wednesday, folks. Our fall fling is now a thing of the past as summertime rolls back in to the Bluegrass State. The next week or so will be similar to how we’ve spent the majority of the past few months, with steam and scattered storms taking center stage.

Highs Wednesday will be in the middle 80s for much of the region as humidity takes off. This will likely lead to the development of scattered showers and storms. Your storm trackers couldn’t stay away for more than a couple days:

Daytime highs will range from the upper 80s to about 90 starting Thursday and running through the weekend. Any one area could see temps go a little higher, but the daily threat of storms might help us out:

GFS

The tropical air will make it feel much hotter and can cause any shower or thunderstorm to put down a lot of rain. The local high-water threat will need to be monitored. 🙁

The tropics are kicking it now, with three systems in the Atlantic. A current unnamed system will head toward the Bahamas this weekend, and is likely to develop into a storm before reaching Florida. The latest European:

Euro

The model now takes that into the central Gulf of Mexico and develops it into a monster. The new run brings this system all the way into our region next week:

Euro 2

That will be interesting to follow in the days ahead.

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Steamy weather gets ready to return

Good Tuesday to one and all.  Our taste of September weather is about to give way to a familiar weather pattern. Steamy air and scattered storms are set to return to the Bluegrass State in the coming days.

Let’s make sure to get out and enjoy the good stuff we have Tuesday. Highs will hit the low 80s with a mix of sun and high clouds.

Humidity surges on Wednesday as highs hit the middle 80s. There’s a small threat of isolated showers and storms during that time.

An increased chance of storms rolls into town Thursday as a cold front moves in. That front should put the brakes on and hang around into the weekend. That means the threat of scattered storms will be with us:

GFS

The air will be very steamy and tropical-feeling during this time.

Beyond this, we will need to see what happens with a possible tropical system heading toward Florida. The latest European model shows this storm going across Florida and into the Gulf:

Euro

Make it a great day and take care.                                                            *

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A touch of September starts the week

Good Monday, everyone. Welcome to a much better brand of air across Central and Eastern Kentucky. In what has been a very muggy and wet summer, this air is most welcome.

Readings in the morning will be in the mid- and upper 50s to start as some fog settles in. Afternoon highs should be in the upper 70s to near 80, with low humidity and plenty of sunshine.

This is normally the point at which I would inset your daily dose of radars, so I have no idea what else to say. 🙂

Tuesday should be equally as nice, with a mix of sun and clouds.

There’s a chance of isolated showers and storms Wednesday as warmer air moves back in. The chance of storms increases a bit by Thursday as a cold front moves in:

NAM 2

That front might slow down on top of the region and keep some scattered storms going into the weekend:

GFS 3

The tropics will come to life next weekend and the following week. That’s when we might have a big tropical system approaching Florida. The models vary greatly on what happens after that, but there’s always a chance that it could affect our weather.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Much better weather moves in

Good Sunday to one and all. We have a blast of September air surging into the bluegrass state today. This will bring the coolest air since late may and early June. More importantly, it’s going to give us a few days to dry out.

We really need the dry days. This has been another super soaker of a summer, and Lexington is right on the cusp now of the top ten wettest Augusts on record… And we still have 11 days to go!

Our day will start with a few showers and storms, but sunny skies take over this afternoon as winds come at us from the northwest.

This will set the stage for some very cool air tonight with lows in the 50s. The 40s may not be too far away from us:

GFS Temps

Monday will be absolutely fantastic with highs in the upper 70s for much of the central and east, and low 80s in the west. Sunny skies will combine with dewpoints in the 50s to give us some of the awesome sauce…

GFS Temps 2

Tuesday looks like another winner of a day, but moisture starts to creep back in by Wednesday. A stray shower or thunderstorm will be possible. The storm chances increase on Thursday as another cold front sweeps in here:

GFS

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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Storms usher in a fall feel

Good Saturday, folks. We have a cold front working into the Bluegrass State. This is kicking off additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms, but the big news is what comes behind it. A taste of September is on the way for the next several days.

Let’s start with what’s out there Saturday. Highs will generally range in the low 80s, with a mix of sun and clouds. Scattered storms will be on the increase as the day wears on. Some of the afternoon and evening storms might be strong and put down torrential rain. Watch the local high-water threat.

Your tracking tools in a bit.

The air coming in behind this should put us well below normal for temperature:

Canadian

After a soggy start to Sunday, skies turn partly sunny in the afternoon on a gusty northwesterly wind. Check out the highs in the upper 70s:

NAM

Lows by Monday morning should be deep into the low and middle 50s:

GFS Temps 2

The nice weather carries us into Monday and Tuesday, so enjoy!

A few scattered storms roll back in Wednesday, ahead of another cold front working our way. This arrives Thursday and Friday with showers and storms:

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking a strong cold front

Good Friday, everyone. We have finally made it to the kickoff of the high school football season in Kentucky. In true 2016 fashion, we have some scattered showers and storms on the move. This action leads us into more storms for the weekend.

Highs Friday will range from 80 to 85 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds. Scattered showers and storms will be around, and a few could affect a game or two Friday night.

The storm threat increases late Saturday as a potent cold front moves in from the northwest. That front will spawn a line of strong thunderstorms sweeping across the region:

Euro

The weather turns very nice behind that boundary. Highs Sunday afternoon will stay in the upper 70s as skies clear. Humidity will drop, with dry weather taking over. Highs early next week will be in the upper 70s to near 80. Lows could drop deep into the 50s:

GFS TEMPS 1That certainly feel very, very nice.

Another cold front shows up by the end of next week. That could bring a few more showers and storms:

Euro 2

Here are your tracking tools for the day:

Have a great day and take care.

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