More of the same on the way

Good Wednesday, everyone. We continue to be in the middle of a warmer than normal setup, tying to balance out the extreme cool we had for the first half of September. This warm air will then carry us through early next week, before we flip back to cool.

Highs Wednesday are generally in the low 80s, with the threat of a shower or thunderstorm. Here are your radars to track the action:

The broken record of a forecast looks to continue for the next several days. Highs will range from 80 to 85 through the weekend. Each day will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with a slight chance of showers and storms.

Hurricanes Jose and Maria continue to threaten the East Coast, but the trend is to keep both from making landfall anywhere in the United States:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Jose continues to weaken as it loops off the northeastern coast:

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The loop from Jose is likely to draw Maria on a more northward turn, which could spare the East Coast. Here’s the track from the National Hurricane Center:

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For us, the pattern starts to cool again by the end of next week. The GFS Ensembles show another round of below normal temps as we flip the calendar from September to October:

The GFS Ensembles show this chilly shot as we end the month…

Have a great day and take care.

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Tracking showers and storms

Good Tuesday, everyone. We are tracking an increase in showers and storms out there as our late summer warmth hangs on. This same setup is likely to carry us through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

Highs Tuesday range from the upper 70s to the low 80s, with showers and storms increasing. Some locally heavy downpours are possible:

I like this forecast so much, I’m going to keep repeating it each day through Sunday. There’s a daily threat of scattered storms, with highs generally ranging from 80 to 85 degrees.

The forecast for Kentucky’s football game against the Florida Gators at Kroger Field remains the same. Temps should be in the 70s during the game, with a slight chance of a storm.

Jose and Maria continue to steal the weather show, with each a threat to the East Coast. Jose is pulling closer to the northeast, while Maria is barreling through the Caribbean as a major hurricane:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Jose will bring tropical storm-force conditions to coastal areas of the northeast and might do a loop over the next few days:

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That loop will have a big role in determining what happens with Maria. Here’s the current five-day forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

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It will be interesting to watch Jose and Maria play off each other in the coming days. That’s a setup you would normally find in the western Pacific, and not on our side of the globe.

Just beyond the next week, the pattern probably flips chilly across the eastern half of the country. The European ensembles from WeatherBell show a rather dramatic shift to cold as we end September:

Make it a great day and take care.

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Scattered storms start a warm week

Good Monday to one and all. We continue to deal with higher-than-normal temperatures, but scattered storms are jumping into the mix. This action is likely to hang around through the next week or so. As all this happens, the tropics continue to crank.

Highs Monday are again in the low 80s in many, with scattered storms firing up. The most likely chance of storms will be across the central and western parts of the region:

Each day through Friday will feature conditions similar to what we have out there Monday. Daytime highs will range from 80 to 85 degrees, with a chance of scattered storms.

Saturday evening will be wild at out Kroger Field as Florida comes to town to take on the undefeated Kentucky Wildcats. Tailgate temps will be in the low 80s with game temps generally in the 70s. There is a slight chance for a storm to go up.

The tropics continue to go wild, with three named storms. Two of those storms, Jose and Maria, are of immediate interest to the east coast:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Jose will likely stay just off the New England coast, but should bring tropical storm force winds to many areas. Here’s the National Hurricane Center track:

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There’s a chance for Jose to do a little loop and make a second run at our coast.

Down in the Caribbean, Maria is developing into another major Hurricane and will impact many areas recently devastated by Irma:

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Maria will likely make a run at the southeastern coast by the weekend or early next week. Exactly where Maria goes may be dictated by how much of a loop Jose does out in front.

Looking down the road through October, we are likely to see some pretty decent early season cold shots around here. The extended run of the European Model suggests flakes will fly in the Appalachian Mountains before October ends:

That would indicate a healthy early season snowpack becoming established in Canada, with a lot of snows out west in the Rockies. The snow pack in Canada backs up my thoughts on a possible earlier than normal start to winter around here.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Scattered storms for the week ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. Slightly warmer than normal temperatures are back in the bluegrass state, with scattered storms ready to join the end of summer party. As all this is going on, the tropics continue to be very, very active.

Let’s start back here at home and expand our view to the tropics.

Highs today are generally in the low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Skies stay mainly dry until later Monday, when the threat for scattered storms return to the region. The threat for scattered storms will then continue on and off through the rest of the week and the GFS rainfall forecast shows this well:

Hurricane Jose continues to churn off the east coast and may brush the northeastern US in the next few days:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

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Two more tropical systems have formed in the Atlantic:

The lead system is likely to develop into a hurricane and plow into the Caribbean in the coming days:

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This may very well threaten the southeastern states by next weekend or early the following week.

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Summer’s last stand

Good Saturday to one and all. As we get ready to close the door on a much cooler-than-normal summer, Mother Nature decides to make it feel like summer. A seasonal brand of warmth has arrived and should carry us through the next week and change.

Let’s start with Saturday.

Highs are generally in the upper 70s to low 80s. Our sky will feature some sun and clouds doing a little dance, and I can’t totally rule out isolated showers and storms:

Our weather for the week ahead will feature highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. There is a better chance for scattered storms going up, starting Monday.

Hurricane Jose continues to churn northeast of the Bahamas:

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Here’s the latest track forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

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The GFS takes this storm toward the northeastern states, with a decent impact:

The Canadian Model has much more of a direct hit in the northeast:

There are several other tropical systems of interest well out in the Atlantic:

There’s a chance one of those threatens the southeast in about a week from now.

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Warmer weather moves in

Good Friday to one and all. Our weekend is kicking off with much warmer air surging into the Bluegrass State. This warmer pattern is going to settle in for the next week or so, bringing above-normal temps our way.

Highs Friday are in the mid- and upper 70s in most areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s just enough low-level moisture to produce isolated showers and storms:

Highs this weekend will be in the 80- to 85-degree range for our region. Skies should stay mainly dry, but there is a slight chance of a shower or storm.

There’s a more likely storm chance by Monday as a weak cold front drops in:

Highs stay in the 80s for much of next week as another front makes a run at us by the end of the week:

That’s another front that probably never makes its way through here, but it gets close enough for storm chances to increase.

I suspect we will see the pattern going back toward cooler as we head into the final week of the month.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Warmer days after Irma

Good Thursday, folks. What’s left of Irma continues to throw some scattered showers and storms at us. As Irma moves away, we get ready for a blast of summer temps to take control of the pattern for the next week or so.

Highs Thursday are in the upper 60s to low 70s, with scattered showers and storms hanging around. Track what’s left of the action:

Friday will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with highs in the 70s. Things look dry and fairly pleasant for high school football action.

From there, here come the 80s. Highs for Saturday and Sunday will range from 80 to 85 degrees, with a mix of sun and clouds. These numbers are way above normal:

Even with a mainly dry look to the weekend pattern, there is enough low level moisture hanging around, to produce isolated showers and storms. The GFS is spitting out some rainfall over the course of the entire weekend:

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Irma’s gusty showers continue

Good Wednesday, everyone. What’s left of Irma continues to drift into the Ohio Valley, bringing gusty rain to much of the region. These showers will continue to press through into Thursday.

Here’s a breakdown of the forecast:

  • Showers are fairly widespread Wednesday and will be slow-movers.
  • Most areas pick up another half-inch or so of rain.
  • Winds won’t be as gusty as Tuesday, but some 20 mph gusts are possible.
  • Leftover showers and a rumble of thunder will be with us into Thursday, but we should get in on many dry hours, too.
  • Highs Wednesday struggle to get into the low 60s. Thursday’s highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Here are your radars to track the spiraling band of showers:

The pattern from Friday through the weekend looks much, much better. Highs on Friday are in the 70s, with warmer air waiting for Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be near 80 degrees on both days.

This probably begins a much warmer-looking setup into the second half of September.

I’m also keeping a close eye on Jose out in the Atlantic. This storm is patiently circling around, waiting on Irma’s remnants to get out of the way. The GFS says this could be an east coast threat:

Make it a great day and take care.

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Tracking rounds of showers from Irma

Good Tuesday, everyone. The remnants from Hurricane Irma continue to work toward the Bluegrass State, with heavy rain and gusty winds already in the region. This action will then continue for the next few days.

Tuesday’s rain will be heaviest in the  morning, with more than 1 inch a possibility in some areas. The stuff then becomes more scattered in the afternoon and evening:

As what’s left of the center of circulation gets closer, winds will become very gusty during this time.

Those winds could top 35 mph at times in some areas early Tuesday:

The threat of showers will continue through Thursday as the Irma remnant low moves eastward across the state:

That’s a slow-moving look that can overachieve in terms of rainfall.

Temps continue to run much cooler than normal, as we are experiencing an amazingly cool September.

The weekend looks mainly dry and much warmer. Highs could make a run at 80 degrees or a little higher!

Make it a great day and take care.

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Irma brings rain to the Bluegrass State

Good Monday to one and all. Hurricane Irma is slowly weakening after causing devastation across Florida. What’s left of this storm will throw rain all the way into Kentucky by later Monday evening.

Our once-category 5 hurricane is slowly weakening as it works to the north and northwest today. This system will still cause wind damage all the way through Georgia, Alabama and into Tennessee.

Here’s the latest on Irma:

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The first rain will roll into the region from southeast to northwest in the evening. This action will then kick it up a notch overnight into Tuesday, with some local amounts of 1 inch or more possible.

Here are your local trackers to follow the tropical rains:

The remnants of Irma will work into Kentucky by late Wednesday and Thursday. The models are tracking that well:

We will need to watch that system to see whether it produces some slow-moving showers and storms that can cause local high-water problems. The rains will be tropical in nature, so it’s possible.

Scattered rain could take us all the way into Friday.

Make it a great day and take care.

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