Good evening, everyone. A Winter Storm Warning is out for the entire state of Kentucky through Saturday. A nasty mix of sleet, freezing rain and snow are moving in and this mess will likely cause a lot of issues.
I am VERY confident of our region getting smacked around by this storm, but less confident on the placement of precipitation types and totals. Here’s a rough outline of how this looks to me at the moment…
That map is basically just for what falls tonight through early Saturday afternoon. The totals and boundaries are very flexible on my end and will be moved around with future updates. This may wind up being a total “nowcast” storm as we see how the precipitation types are playing out on the fly.
The late day trend among the models is for a much heavier swath of snow setting up along the area I outlined in my earlier update.
The GFS is a little farther south than the NAM…
The short range model known as the RAP only goes through 11am and shows a similar look…
If those models verify, we would be looking at some serious issues developing because of the amount of snow. That would be a heavy, wet snow that would be falling on top of a lot of snow already out there. Roofs beware!!!!
To the south of all that… snow and sleet are already breaking out in western and southern Kentucky. This can cause accumulations of both before we see more in the way of freezing rain take over later tonight. The potential for significant icing is increasing.
As mentioned, this is a VERY HIGH IMPACT winter storm. The models are just now catching on to the snowpack and arctic air in place and now you will see a lot of forecasts shift based on that. I will update things again tonight and on WKYT-TV at 11.
I have your tracking tools…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington
US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort
US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort
US 60 @ US 460
I-75 MP 127
I-64 MP 97
Mountain Parkway near Slade
US 23 at 119
I-71/I-75 at I-275
I-275 at Mineola Pike
I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Bluegrass Parkway Bardstown
I-65 MP 32
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
I-64 @ I-264
I-264 @ Freedom Way
Near Louisville International Airport
I-75 at MP 36
I-75 at MP 23
US 41A Gate 5 Fort Campbell Entrance
I-24 MP 4 @ US 60
I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green