High temps will have to battle some storms

Good Thursday to one and all. Heat and humidity are building in across the Bluegrass State, giving us the steamiest air of the entire summer.  That said, thunderstorms might have a say in just how hot we can get the next few days.

Highs out there Thursday will generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s for much of our region. Factor in the humidity, and it will feel closer to 100 degrees in some areas.

There is also a chance of a shower or storm:

Friday and Saturday have the potential to be hotter than Thursday, but much of that will be determined by storms. Without storms, highs will flirt with 95 degrees, with a heat index in the low 100s.

With storms, the numbers are likely to be a few degrees cooler, but still rather toasty.

The GFS is spitting out some afternoon and evening storms around here on Friday:

The setup for Saturday looks very similar:

Showers and storms look to increase later Sunday as a potent cold front drops in from the northwest. That action should carry us into Monday:

Temps will turn much more pleasant into the first half of the week. Check out the potentially highs by Tuesday:

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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A big cool-down follows the heat

Good Wednesday, everyone. We have a lot of heat and humidity taking over the pattern, but it’s not going to hang around very long. A change to much cooler than normal is lurking for late this weekend and next week, and it will bring an increase in storms.

Highs Wednesday will top out in the upper 80s to near 90 in most areas. Humidity might make it feel 90 to 95 for many people.

Thursday through Saturday will feature the hottest stretch of weather of the summer. Highs should range from 90 to 95, with a heat index near 100 degrees.

Can we fire up a few storms to help things out? That’s a possibility late Friday and Saturday as a few storms ride in from the northwest:

If those do move in, they could keep our temps under the forecast highs. I won’t complain if that’s the case. 🙂

Rain and storms will then increase Sunday into early next week:

 

This comes from a significant dip in the jet stream, bringing a much cooler-than-normal air mass into the eastern half of the country:

 

That would be a heck of a cool-down for the final full week of July.

Make it a great day and take care.

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Heat wave slowly settles in

Good Tuesday, folks. If you’re a fan of true summertime heat and humidity, we have the forecast for you. The hottest air of the summer is settling in and will develop into a short-lived heat wave that takes us into the weekend.

Tuesday will feature highs from 85 to 90 in most of Central and Eastern Kentucky. I can’t rule out a pop-up shower or storm during the afternoon:

Here are some heat-wave notes:

  • The hottest days will be Wednesday through Saturday.
  • Daytime highs will range from 90 to 95, with a few spots in the middle 90s on any given day.
  • Humidity will send our heat index values into the danger category by Friday and Saturday. It could feel about 105 degrees on these days.
  • Nighttime lows will drop only into the stuffy mid- and upper 70s.

The pattern does turn stormy again by late this weekend and early next week. This is ahead of a big flip in the pattern, with cooler-than-normal temps taking control across the eastern part of the country.

The CFS shows a rather cool five-day period to end July:

Make it a great Tuesday and take care.

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Watching for a heat wave

Good Monday, folks. The hottest air of the summer is targeting the Bluegrass State later this week. This will probably reach full-blown heat-wave status across our entire region.

Before that kicks in, we have a few storms to track for Monday. This action is along a weak cold front dropping in from the northwest. There’s not a ton of moisture to work with, so Monday’s storms will be pretty scattered:

Tuesday will hang on to a small storm chance, with highs in the mid- and upper 80s. From there, it’s game on toward our heat wave. This bad boy will stretch from the Rockies all the way into the Ohio Valley:

Highs from Wednesday into the weekend will head deep into the 90s, possibly giving us the hottest air since 2012. Heat index values could top out in the 100- 105-degree range for a few days. That’s getting into the danger category, so we will need to monitor this closely in the coming days.

Thunderstorms will try to break the heat late in the weekend and early next week. The models have pushed those back a few days, but they still show these boomers riding in from northwest to southeast:

That’s also a nice shot of pleasant air showing up for next week.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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A weak cold front on the way

Good Sunday to one and all. It’s another very nice weather day across central and eastern Kentucky, with pleasant temps and mainly sunny skies. This nice weather will soon give way to a weak cold front marching in from the north.

Highs today are in the low and middle 80s for many areas. Winds will begin to gust up as our front draws near from the north. That boundary may touch off  a broken line of strong storms to our north into the evening. A few of those may sink into northern Kentucky before the evening is through.

Here’s the Sunday edition of weather trackers:

Monday will find the cold front hanging around on top of the region, as evidenced by the high temp forecast from the NAM:

A few showers and storms will be scattered about the region into Monday evening, but this doesn’t look like a big rain event.

Toasty temps return for the middle and end of next week, with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees.

Some storms will begin to work back in from the northwest by late week into next weekend:

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Feels a mite better this weekend

Good Saturday to one and all. We have a cold front pressing to our south, leaving behind a much better weather pattern. This means a weekend of comfy air settling back into the Bluegrass State.

That front is close enough to southern Kentucky to keep a shower or storm around in those areas:

Highs Saturday are generally from 80 to 85 degrees, with lower humidity. Skies will be partly sunny through the day.

Sunday looks and feels similar. Highs will be in the low and middle 80s, with winds becoming gusty. Those gusty winds are ahead of another cold front moving in Sunday night and early Monday.

That front might have a broken line of showers and storms with it:

Highs will stay in the 80s into the middle of next week, but steamy conditions will join the mix. This could lead to an increase in showers and storms for the second half of next week into the following week.

Have a great start to the weekend and take care.

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Tracking a cold front

Good Friday, folks. Our work week is wrapping up with a few showers and storms rumbling across the state. These storms could be on the strong side, producing heavy rain as they blow in. Much better air then takes over this weekend.

Friday’s storms could produce high winds and small hail in some areas. The greatest chance of strongstorms could be across the southern half of the state in the afternoon and evening.

Here are your tracking tools for the day:

A cold front makes it way to our south by Saturday morning, with awesome air coming in behind it for the weekend.  However, it may come with a catch.

Our cold front checks up across the Tennessee Valley, leading to the potential for some leftover showers and storms. The NAM shows the best chance across the southern half of the state:

Sunday looks like another winner of a weather day, with highs from 80 to 85 degrees.

Another weak cold front moves in Sunday night and Monday morning, and it should bring another broken line of showers and storms.  This will keep normal July air around into the first part of next week.

The pattern may turn a little stormy by the second half of next week into the following weekend.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Tracking two cold fronts

Good Thursday, folks. Showers and storms will increase later in the day, and this is a sign of things to come. I’m tracking two cold fronts into the Bluegrass State as we roll into the weekend.

Let’s begin with Thursday. The heat index is well into the 90s as actual highs flirt with 90 in many areas, but scattered showers and storms will come through. These storms will increase as we head into the afternoon and evening, and some could be strong in the north.

Here are your Thursday tracking tools:

Cold front number one blows in Friday, with showers and storms. With the front right on top of Kentucky, some strong or severe storms can’t be ruled out.

Here’s the latest from the Storm Prediction Center:

That front clears the region, setting us up for a great-looking Saturday. Highs will be in the low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds, and lower humidity.

The next front arrives by Sunday evening. This should produce a line of storms that could carry us into early Monday. You can see that line dropping in from the northwest:

Much cooler air comes in behind that, with below-normal temps likely in the first few days of next week.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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Toasty temps before storms increase

Good Wednesday, folks. Our middle of the week is bringing some of the hottest temps of the entire summer. Of course, that’s not saying much during this wimpy summer, but 90-degree highs are a good bet. This happens before showers and storms kick into high gear to end the week.

Highs Wednesday will be near 90 in most of Central and Eastern Kentucky. Steamy air will make it feel a few degrees warmer than that. There is a small chance of isolated showers and storms in the afternoon and evening.

Showers and storms will then increase as we head into Thursday. The action becomes more widespread as we head into Friday with another front showing up late Sunday and Monday. Watch it all play out on the GFS:

Those storms might be a little on the strong side and could put down some very heavy rain.

In between the fronts, the weather on Saturday and early Sunday looks great!

The pattern for next week is likely to feature another battle between hot air in the southwest, and cooler air in the north and northeast. That puts the bluegrass state right in the middle of the battleground.

Have a great day and take care.

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Steamy temps and scattered storms

Good Tuesday to one and all. We have some of the warmest air of the summer on tap for the coming days. This air will be very tropical in nature, with the potential for a few storms through Friday.

Tuesday will feature highs from the middle 80s to near 90, depending on where you are. A few storms might be on the move from the northwest, with the greatest impact across the north.

Your daily dose of tracking tools:

Wednesday will find highs near 90 degrees in most of Central and Eastern Kentucky. With the high humidity, it will feel a few degrees warmer than that. There’s only a small storm chance in the north.

Thunderstorms will then increase as we roll into Thursday and Friday. That’s when a cold front drops in from the northwest. The storms along and ahead of this should be slow-movers, putting down some very heavy rainfall. A few storms could be strong:

Cooler air comes in behind that for the weekend, but we will be watching the tropics to see how it influences the overall pattern across the states.

Have a great day and take care.

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