Good Monday everyone and thanks for dropping by the blog. We are starting out the week with possible record cold and frost. That will soon give way to a warmer and stormier pattern as soon as Tuesday and that setup continues the rest of the week.
Today is starting out with temps into the low and middle 30s for many areas and this means widespread frost to kick things off. Record lows are possible throughout much of the bluegrass state. Afternoon temps will warm into the mid and upper 60s.
A few clouds will roll in by the end of the day as warmer air to our west begins to push into the Ohio Valley. This is going to set the stage for rounds of showers and thunderstorms to roll from west to east. The action should get started on Tuesday and the NAM is picking up on it:
The GFS Ensembles suggest additional action is likely for much of the rest of the week:
This setup could even produce some strong storms and heavy rainfall across our part of the world. Temps will bounce back into the 70s for highs and may flirt with 80. Temps should come down some by the weekend and I will be watching for a possible storm system to impact the state.
The long range models want to take the overall pattern back toward chilly as we work into the first few weeks of October. The GFS:
Have a wonderful day and take care.