Extreme changes brewing

Good Wednesday everyone. There isn’t much more I can say about how great the weather is this week. Temps in the 70s, sunny skies and gusty winds are combining with our fall colors to give us some awesome late-October weather. If you think this is too good to be true, you’re right. A big change blows in by the weekend.

High temps today and Thursday will be in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Our winds will continue to be very gusty, with partly sunny skies continuing.

Our changes begin to show up by Friday as a cold front swings eastward into the region. A line of showers and thunderstorms will be along and ahead of this front and might affect high school football games. Additional showers will carry us into Saturday as gusty northwesterly winds usher in our chilly change.

Readings on Saturday should hang around the low 50s for most of the state. The moisture will slowly pull out for Sunday, but the chilly air will remain, with similar afternoon temps in the low 50s.

The charge of cold air is pushing a big dip in the jet stream into the eastern half of the country. As all this is happening, Tropical Storm/Hurricane Sandy is working across the Bahamas from the south. Many of the latest forecast models suggest that our jet stream catches Sandy and pulls the storm back to the west into the mid-Atlantic states or New England.

Check out some of these impressive model forecasts:

European model Tuesday morning:

NOGAPS:

The GFS Ensembles Mean:

That’s about an extreme event as you can get, with a hurricane slamming the northeast as cold air dives into it from the northwest. We still have a lot of time to see how the trough and Sandy interact. Whatever happens with those two will have a impact on our weather. It’s something for us to keep a close eye on.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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