A rainy weekend gets started

Good Friday everyone, and welcome to one ugly weekend. There will be occasional rain and some thunder over the next several days. This pattern has been well advertised on the blog, and it’s a pattern that will lead us toward winter.

A cold front heads closer to the state today and will eventually become stationary. Waves of low pressure will work along this front and produce rounds of showers and some thunderstorms. You can track today’s rain on regional radar:

Locally heavy downpours will be possible over the weekend. The NAM shows a swath of 1-inch to 2-inch rainfall during this time.

That’s good news because we have been pretty dry over the past few months.

That wet pattern is what acts to get our warm pattern taking on a more wintry look and feel by early next week. A strong cold front will swing in here on Monday, and this means temps might drop 20 to 30 degrees in a matter of hours.

We have to watch for a wave of low pressure developing along this front. That might combine with the cold air moving in to produce a period of light snow or snow showers late Monday into Tuesday.

The GFS Ensembles certainly look the part:

I will update the snowflake threat through the weekend. Make it a great Friday and take care.

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