Winter is ready to roar back

Good Saturday everyone and thanks for checking out the blog.  Our weekend is off and running with a serious blast of springtime air. Let me offer up some friendly advice… get out and enjoy it. We have a massive weather change on the way before the weekend is over.

Lexington hit 66 degrees for a high Friday and that tied a record high from 1890. We will come close again today with upper 60s to near 70 in the forecast. Today’s record high is 71 degrees from 1890.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be noted amidst periods of sunshine. Here’s your regional radar to track the storms:

Showers and storms will become more common later tonight into Sunday as a powerful cold front works in. Heavy rainfall of 1″-2″ will be possible for much of the central Kentucky.

Temps will start in the 60s and then fall into the upper 30s by Sunday evening as cold air sweeps in behind the front. That may mean the rain ends as a period of light snow Sunday night as temps hit the upper 20s.

 

This is where our weather picture runs into a couple of question marks. That cold front will put the brakes on just to our east. Another wave of low pressure should ride northeastward along this boundary late Monday into Tuesday. The trend on the models has been for a wintry event to unfold across parts of the state.

The NAM has been the most robust with this system and produces quite a bit of snow, ice and rain across the state. Here’s what the NAM is showing…

NAM 3

That is not set in stone it’s just one run of one model. This will be something for us to keep an eye on over the next few days.

While, winter comes back in the week ahead, it’s what’s coming late next weekend into the following week that is getting everyone’s attention.

Basically… the north pole may dive into the eastern half of the United States. Every single model shows this happening in some form or fashion. This is one of those rare times the models actually match up with what the global indices say should happen. Even the GFS has it…

GFS

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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