Colder air may be a sign of things to come

Good Thursday, everyone. Much colder air  has invaded the bluegrass state today and will hang tough into the start of the weekend. While chilly, the weather looks fairly tranquil for the next several days. That said, I’m seeing signs of a pattern trying to take on a wintry look for next week.

Let’s break down where we are now and work forward.

Skies will become partly sunny today as winds gust up from the northwest. This chilly wind will keep our temps in the upper 40s for highs. That sets the stage for a cold night ahead with lows in the 20s.

Friday’s forecast looks a lot like what we have out there today. Highs will hit the upper 40s under a partly sunny sky.

The weekend sees more in the way of dry weather with temps returning to the 50s for highs. Winds should be rather gusty, but nothing out of the ordinary.

Wintry changes start to show up by Tuesday of next week as a system dives in from the northwest. Many of the models take this system across the Tennessee Valley into the Mid- Atlantic states by Wednesday. A track like that can sometimes deliver some snow to the state and the GFS shows just that:

GFS

That is one heck of a cold high pressure across the Great Lakes. Check out how far below normal the model is forecasting temps by Wednesday:

GFS 2Now comes the real question… is it correct? That remains to be seen, but it does have model support from the European.

I’m still not convinced this pattern will produce that much winter weather, but it certainly has the potential to give us a taste of winter. We shall see how it goes in the coming days.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

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