2014 to start with a lot of winter

Good Tuesday and Happy New Year. 2014 is looking more and more like it will begin with a lot of winter weather across the bluegrass state. The pattern taking shape for January has the potential to go toward the extreme with cold and snow. Just how extreme is the question.

It’s a rather tranquil final day of 2013 with partly cloudy skies and temps in the 30s. Temps by midnight will be in the mid to upper 20s as we usher in the near year.

2013 will be remembered for all the wet weather we had. Lexington picked up 59.53″ of rain and that’s good for the 7th wettest year on record. This wet trend has been common in recent years. 2011 was the wettest year on record and 2004 is among the top 5.

What will 2014 be remembered for? To start… the January potential for cold and snow is as high as it’s been in a long, long time. The action gets started with low pressure working across the Tennessee Valley on Thursday. The models are throwing accumulating snow into the state, but disagree on how much.

The European Model has a more threatening look than the others:

Euro

That track could put down several inches of the white stuff. Again… other models show a lighter brand of snowfall. It’s something we will keep a close eye on over the next few days.

Arctic temps will dive in behind this system. Lows by Friday morning may hit the high single digits for some. Afternoon temps may struggle to get to 20 degrees.

Another system works our way by late in the weekend and may turn into another snow maker by Sunday or Monday. The European Model is going to the extreme with this setup:

Euro 4

That is likely TOO extreme, but the potential is there for another snowfall that’s followed by a major blast of arctic air.

Like I said… there is a lot of winter to go around in a pattern like this.

Happy New Year and take care.

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