Looking down the weather road

Good Thursday to one and all. As the weekend approaches, our weather pattern is looking much milder. That’s some good news for those who are sick of the chilly and gloomy conditions we’ve had of late.

What about the look further down the weather road? Some interesting things are showing up, and I will share those in a bit.

Let’s start with Thursday. Many areas will wake up to frost on the pumpkins, with lows in the 30s. The afternoon looks better, with highs nearing 60 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

A weak system moves in Friday and might produce a few sprinkles or a light shower. The NAM future radar shows a very small risk:

NAM

Highs tomorrow will be in the low 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. Milder air surges in for Saturday as highs make a run at 70 on a strong southwesterly wind flow. Those numbers look to get knocked down several degrees behind a weak cold front for Sunday:EuroConditions still look nice for much of the weekend, with mainly dry skies.

Monday should be the warmest day, with highs in the 70-75 degree range ahead of a cold front. That front sweeps in Tuesday, with showers and thunderstorms and cooler air. Another front might arrive around Halloween, and that’s something I will be updating you on in the coming days.

The new JAMSTEC seasonal model is out with the outlook for the upcoming winter. Here are two important factors it’s picking up on:

Japan Model

It still shows the warm pool of water off the west coast into the Gulf of Alaska. It also shows a weak El Nino becoming central based. Those two are pretty good to see together if you’re a fan of winter weather. Sure enough, the December-February period looks like this:Japan Model 2A colder than normal winter with above normal precipitation could get interesting. That’s assuming the model is correct. ;)

Have a great day and take care.

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