Good Thursday to one and all. A very strong clipper system will roll across the state and will bring a lot of changes. All of these changes will lead us into a Super Bowl weekend that might throw more snow our way.
Thursday’s system will provide a quick spike in temps ahead of it and a bigger crash behind it. Here’s a breakdown:
– Wind gusts of 30 mph to 40 mph will be possible.
– Rain showers will then change to snow showers Thursday evening and Thursday night.
-I’m also seeing a bit more of an upslope component taking shape for Friday. That simply means our northwesterly wind will try to squeeze out some snow showers across Central and Eastern Kentucky.
– Slick roads are a possibility for Friday. Winds will continue to be gusty as temps drop during the day. Single-digit wind chills are possible.
With this clipper tending deeper, that is likely to affect the storm system. How so? It could force the system to scoot eastward across the Tennessee Valley. That seems to be a growing trend with the latest computer models. Here’s the European Model:
That’s a solution the models were showing a few days ago and the one that makes the most meteorological sense right now. That kind of track would try to put down some snow across the state:
The new GFS would suggest a lot more snow around here:
I will keep telling you to not get caught up on model snowfall forecasts because they will change with each run. I keep focusing on the overall trends and the setup, and so should you.
That would unleash some very cold air behind it for Monday.
I leave you with some tracking tools:
Have a great Thursday and take care.