Tracking the winter storm

Good evening, everyone. A Winter Storm Warning is out for the entire state of Kentucky through Saturday. A nasty mix of sleet, freezing rain and snow are moving in and this mess will likely cause a lot of issues.

I am VERY confident of our region getting smacked around by this storm, but less confident on the placement of precipitation types and totals. Here’s a rough outline of how this looks to me at the moment…

Special 2

That map is basically just for what falls tonight through early Saturday afternoon. The totals and boundaries are very flexible on my end and will be moved around with future updates. This may wind up being a total “nowcast” storm as we see how the precipitation types are playing out on the fly.

The late day trend among the models is for a much heavier swath of snow setting up along the area I outlined in my earlier update.


NAMThe GFS is a little farther south than the NAM…


The short range model known as the RAP only goes through 11am and shows a similar look…


If those models verify, we would be looking at some serious issues developing because of the amount of snow. That would be a heavy, wet snow that would be falling on top of a lot of snow already out there. Roofs beware!!!!

To the south of all that… snow and sleet are already breaking out in western and southern Kentucky. This can cause accumulations of both before we see more in the way of freezing rain take over later tonight. The potential for significant icing is increasing.

As mentioned, this is a VERY HIGH IMPACT winter storm. The models are just now catching on to the snowpack and arctic air in place and now you will see a lot of forecasts shift based on that. I will update things again tonight and on WKYT-TV at 11.

I have your tracking tools…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

US 60 @ US 460
US60 @ US460

I-75 MP 127
I75 NB @ MP 127

I-64 MP 97
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

US 23 at 119


I-71/I-75 at I-275
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ I-275

I-275 at Mineola Pike
Near Covington
I-275 @ Mineola Pike

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

Bluegrass Parkway Bardstown

I-65 MP 32

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-64 @ I-264
I-64 @ I-264

I-264 @ Freedom Way
Near Louisville International Airport
I-264 @ Freedom Way

I-75 at MP 36
I-75 @ MP 36

I-75 at MP 23

I-75 @ MP 23

US 41A Gate 5 Fort Campbell Entrance
Fort Campbell
US 41A @ Gate 5

I-24  MP 4 @ US 60
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 MP 36

I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

Take care.

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