A big weekend forecast

Good Friday to one and all. Breeders Cup weekend has arrived, and the weather is looking absolutely gorgeous to start things out. That’s the good news. The bad news comes later in the weekend, with showers increasing from west to east.

Let’s try to be positive and start with what we have Friday. Temps will begin the day in the 30s under mainly clear skies. There will be a mix of afternoon sun and clouds, with highs in the 50s. Here’s a look at expected highs in Central Kentucky:

Lexington-metro forecastClouds roll into town Saturday as a storm system throws some moisture our way from the Southwest. Most of the daylight hours look dry, with highs from the upper 50s to the low 60s.

Showers should arrive from west to east late in the afternoon and Halloween evening. You can follow the progression of the showers on the NAM rainfall forecast:

NAMThat would imply that rain starts in the Bluegrass region after 8 p.m. But it’s going to be a fine line in terms of the arrival. If the system speeds up, we get the rain earlier in the day. A slower system would wait until after midnight to produce rain.

Whenever the rains arrive, they should stick around into Sunday. Some of the models indicate some very heavy rain later Sunday into Monday. The Canadian Model has been steadfast in showing this:

CanadianOther models are nowhere near as strong with that storm system and give us only showers for Sunday.

Regardless of the strength of that system, warmer air is on the way for next week. Election Day should feature a fair amount of sun, with highs in the low 70s. Highs in the low to mid-70s should take us through the middle and end of next week.

That’s when we have to watch for a powerhouse of a cold front coming our way, with storms and colder weather:

Canadian 2Enjoy your Friday and take care.

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