Good Friday to one and all. We have wet weather on the move across the region. This is ahead of a massive weather change moving in for the weekend. That change will bring a big blast of winter weather our way.
Let’s start with Friday’s rain. Showers will be numerous to start the day but will become more scattered in the afternoon as highs hit the 50s.
Low pressure works right on top of the state Saturday with heavy rain and wind. As that low passes to our northeast, much colder air surges in, with crashing Sunday temps. That will lead to a period of light snow, with snow showers kicking in on a strong northwesterly wind flow:
Light accumulations are possible Sunday as lows drop into the 20s. Winds are going to be super gusty and could send wind chills to near zero by Monday morning.
The next system is a true arctic front that arrives Tuesday. That should bring high winds and snows with it:
Looking down the road, we now see the blocking really showing up on the forecast models over the next few weeks. This is five-day average 500 mb height anomaly:
The southern jet stream really cranks up, with blocking sending cold air into much of the country. That’s a recipe for some big winter storms developing.
Sure enough, during that same time, we see the European Model advertising a storm system:
The European Ensembles during that time are also hinting at something:
The late afternoon GFS is all over the same period: