Winter fights back next week

Good Friday to one and all. We have a nice-looking and nice-feeling weekend taking shape across our part of the world. This is good timing for all those folks heading out to Super Bowl parties.

Once beyond the weekend, winter surges back into the Bluegrass State in a big way.

Highs Friday will be in the low and mid-40s in many areas, with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs for Saturday and Sunday will top out between 45 and 50 degrees. Winds will be a little breezy under a mix of sun and clouds.

We’re going into a pattern that will feature a 3- to 4-day period of snow showers and squalls across our region. That starts Monday morning and runs through early Thursday. Northwesterly winds coming across the warmer-than-normal Great Lakes will combine with several upper-air systems to create the widespread snow showers and squalls.

The GFS snow forecast through Wednesday:

GFS

Keep in mind, it’s forecasting that to fall collectively over three days. You might never see those totals on the ground at any one time.

How do you know these snow squalls mean business? When I look at the raw output for Lexington and see the model showing the threat for thundersnow:

GFS 2The Canadian Model is similar to the GFS with this setup. This snowfall map is only for a 10-1 ratio…

Canadian

Our ratios are likely to be quite a bit higher. That’s the “fluff factor” I often talk about.

The European ensembles show another system to watch next weekend and early the following week. Here’s the two-week snow forecast from that model:

Euro 2

Make it a great Friday and take care.

Euro

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