A busy Kentucky Derby week

Good Monday, everyone. It’s Kentucky Derby week, and Mother Nature is threatening to steal the show. We’ve been in a very active weather pattern for the past few weeks, and that looks to continue this week.

Things are starting off with the potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms across our region. Areas of southeastern Kentucky have had flooding problems over the weekend, and they stand to see the heaviest rain Monday. This could cause additional high-water problems in some areas.

Here’s all you need to track Monday’s action:

Once this moves away, it’s game on for a significant upper-level system to drop in from the northwest late Tuesday. This cuts off across the region, with unsettled weather through Friday:

Euro

As that dives in, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few strong thunderstorms. Once it gets here, we will see a daily threat of a shower or a small hail-producing thunderstorm through Friday. At night skies can clear, allowing temps to really drop. There’s the chance of lows in the mid- and upper 30s by the end of the week, with a kiss of frost possible.

The latest model forecasts show that upper system slipping off to our east by Saturday, Derby day, but it’s a close call. The latest European Model then shows another front dropping in from the north by Saturday night and Sunday.

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

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