All eyes on the big weekend

Good Thursday, folks. The weekend is just around the corner, but it’s no ordinary weekend. It’s Kentucky Derby weekend and Mother’s Day weekend all rolled into one. That means we have a little extra pressure on the forecast.

Let’s start with Thursday and fast forward.

Gusty showers and very chilly air will combine to make this another ugly weather day. Temps in the morning will range from the high 30s to the low 40s, with afternoon highs in the 50s.

Kentucky Oaks day is Friday, and things should be improving. A leftover shower or two is possible early in the day, but some afternoon sun should boost highs toward the upper 60s.

Kentucky Derby Day, Saturday, will be much, much warmer, with highs in the mid- and upper 70s. I can’t rule out a stray shower or storm early in the day, but skies look to be partly sunny.

A cold front will drop in from the northwest by Saturday night. This will probably have a line of showers and thunderstorms with it. There’s a chance this line arrives late Saturday afternoon or early in the evening. That’s something we will have to watch for come Derby time.

That line hangs on into Sunday morning:

GFS

That front goes stationary for Mother’s Day, with scattered storms a good bet.

This leads us back into a pattern featuring warm air across our region and points southeast, with series of systems diving into the plains states:

Euro

That should generate rounds of showers and storms as each piece of energy lifts northeastward across the Ohio Valley and Midwest.

Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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