Tracking a series of cold fronts

Good Tuesday to one and all. Our “wow” fall weather pattern rolls on for a few more days, but changes are on the way. These changes will come in the form of a series of cold fronts ready to blow across our part of the world.

The first front arrives Wednesday night and Thursday morning, and it should bring a gusty band of showers and thunderstorms. The future radar from the NAM shows this well:

nam

This doesn’t look like a lot of rain, but we will take what we can get. Highs on Thursday should stay in the low and middle 60s.

Another system will bring the threat of rain back in here late Friday into Saturday:

gfs

As that one moves away, another appears ready to zip in from the northwest. The GFS shows this arriving late Sunday and early Monday:

gfs-2

There’s likely to be a much bigger system affecting our weather toward the middle and end of next week. That could set the stage for some wild temperature swings and thunderstorms.

The new SST seasonal model is out and shows something similar to the winters of 2013-14 and 2014-15 in terms of being back-loaded. Look at the amount of cold across much of the country from January to March:

sst

Interesting that it’s now showing something like that, given that I’ve been mentioning those two historic winters for a while now. Both had the infamous warm pool of water off the west coast into the Gulf of Alaska. … Just like this year.

Have a great day and take care.

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