Heavy rain on the way

Good Sunday to one and all. We have had one of the driest falls on record across the state, but that’s about to change in the coming days. Heavy rain is on the way, and could total more than the past two months worth combined.

Clouds will increase today with afternoon highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. These clouds are ahead of a potent storm system set to impact our region later Monday into early Tuesday.

This system will bring heavy rain from west to east. My thoughts have not changed on this at all. Central and western Kentucky can pick up 1″-2.5″ of rain, with an inch or under in the east.

The next system developing along that front from Tuesday night into Wednesday is being handled differently by each model.

The European Model has the heaviest rain with this across the central and east:

euro

Rain totals for both systems on the Euro:

euro-2

The Canadian Model on has a similar look with the second system:

canadian

The GFS is much more progressive, but that’s a well known bias of the model:

gfs

Adjust that westward and you have a similar look with every piece of data.

A few snowflakes may show up on the backside of that system as colder air crashes in here from the northwest. As we get closer to the first few days of December, the models are indeed growing colder and colder:

euro-3

That’s the setup from Thursday-Saturday with the seasonally cold air taking full control of the pattern. That’s a setup that can throw some snow showers and flurries our way, especially as winds become northwesterly.

Have a sensational Sunday and take care.

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