Tracking a wet and mild Christmas weekend

Good Saturday to one and all, and Merry Christmas Eve. Our big weekend is here and we have wet weather kicking things off. The damp conditions will also help usher in some much milder air for the next few days.

If you’re looking for winter, it does try to show back up before the year is out.

Our Saturday starts with wet weather for holiday travelers. Locally heavy downpours can leave standing water on roads, so take it easy. A scattered shower or two will be around for our Christmas Eve with temps generally in the 40s.

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

Christmas Day temps will soar into the 60s and this may become the 2nd warmest Christmas on record behind only the 70 in 1982. A shower or two will also be possible.

Monday will feature temps deep into the 60s with showers increasing ahead of a cold front.

The models continue to show the return of a cold pattern beginning late Wednesday into Thursday. The European Model looks a little too amped up with this storm system:

euro-2

It unleashes a deep trough with cold air taking over the eastern half of the country:

euro-4

Snow showers are the end result in that setup by late Thursday and Friday:

euro-3

The GFS isn’t as impressed with the actual system late Wednesday:

gfs-2

The truth likely lies in between those two model runs for Wednesday and Thursday.

The GFS still likes the cold air and snow showers late Thursday and Friday:

gfs-3

The GFS continues to follow that up as we head into New Year’s Eve and Day:

gfs-6

Is that the beginning of another cold pattern across the country? That’s looking more and more like the case. Check out the coast to coast cold taking over into the first week of January. The Canadian Ensembles 5 day temperature departure in Celsius:

canadian-2

Have a great day and take care.

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