Winter weather on the way

Good Tuesday to one and all. It’s another spring-like day out there across the region, but Old Man Winter is about ready to pounce. We have arctic air and snow threats taking shape in the coming days.

Highs Tuesday will  again be in the upper 50s to near 60 under cloudy skies. Showers will be fairly common, with an early-day rumble of thunder:

A true arctic front moves in Tuesday night and early Wednesday, with cold air surging in here. Temps on Wednesday will settle into the upper 20s and low 30s with the potential for a few snow flurries.

A wave of low pressure follows this on Thursday, and that’s likely to be a light snow-maker:

euro

This has the potential to drop an inch or two of snow across much of the region. Slick travel is a possibility as highs stay in the 20s.

Arctic air comes in behind this, with lows near 10 degrees by Friday morning. Highs might not get too much above 20 degrees in spots.

The models then disagree with what happens after that. For the past week, the models have been forecasting a bigger storm to threaten our region. The past few days have found a big disagreement on where this system goes.

The European model says this system stays too far to our south to give us any snow:

euro-2The GFS has been farther north, bringing some snow into our region:

gfs-gif-5

The GFS parallel is even farther north:

gfs-gif-4

I don’t think the models will have a firm handle on this setup until tonight or Wednesday.

Regardless of that system, our weekend looks very cold with the potential for lows to reach the high single digits.

Make it a great day and take care.

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