Bitter cold finally starts to ease

Good Sunday, everyone. We are wrapping up a brutally cold weekend across the bluegrass state. Morning lows have been near or just below zero over the past couple of mornings. This air is finally beginning to ease up and that will leave us with a much different looking and feeling week ahead.

Highs today will hit the upper teens to around 20 with clouds on the increase. Those clouds can spit out a snow flurry or two:

As temps climb early in the week, showers develop by Tuesday.

This looks to be the start of a very active, and potentially wild pattern. It’s one that can put our region in the dividing line between arctic cold to the north and spring temps to the south. Each of those temp patterns can oscillate back and forth across Kentucky.

The late week setup is an intriguing one from a couple of aspects. It can bring thunderstorms and torrential rains before the potential for ice and snow.

I actually like what the GFS is doing with this by late Thursday and Friday:

gfsWatch the change from storms to winter in just a few hours:

gfs-2

That could very well feature a 40+ temperature swing along that boundary.

Often when I see situations like this, the heavy rain threat immediately pops into my mind. Check out the GFS rain totals over the next week or so:

gfs-rain-2

The Canadian Model just gave the GFS a “like”:

canadian

The GFS then brings that boundary back into Kentucky early the following week and does the same thing all over again. The two week rain totals from that run of the GFS:

gfs-rain

Enjoy your Sunday and take care.

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