Winter fights back this week

Good Tuesday to one and all. Rain, rain and more rain. That has pretty much been the pattern over the past month and a half or so. This wet and mild pattern is about to give way to a setup resembling something we should be seeing for this time of year.

Let us start with today and roll forward. Clouds and a shower or two will linger out there with temps generally in the 40s:

A cold front moves in on Wednesday with gusty winds and showers. Much colder air then filters in behind this front as snow showers and light snow kicks in on a northwesterly wind flow by Thursday:

GFS

Periods of light snow, flurries and snow showers will then be noted Friday into Saturday.

In my last update, I mentioned the potential for one of these systems to dig deeper and amplify into something just a little bigger. I pointed toward Sunday and the models are pointing the same way:

GFS 2

Snowfall numbers from Thursday through Monday on the GFS are pretty decent. Again, it’s one model run that will show something a little different with each run. Here’s the current snapshot of 4 days worth of systems diving in here:

GFS Snow 3

That’s a snowFALL map and not a snow depth map. It’s a cumulative thing. 😉

The overall pattern continues to throw cold shots into the country with arctic air getting into the mix. This shows up all the way into early February:

GFS

For pure fun, the 16 day GFS snowfall map:

GFS Snow 2

That looks similar to a few of the individual GFS Ensemble members in recent days. Here’s the brand new look at the Ensembles:

GFS Snow

While no snow map should ever be taken literally, the above maps tell the story of how winter will, at least, target our part of the world with snow chances over the next few weeks.

Make it a great day and take care.

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