Tracking a big storm into Kentucky

Good Monday, everyone. We continue to watch a potent storm system rolling into the Commonwealth over the next few days. This can bring everything from high winds and severe storms to a round of light snow. Buckle up for the ride.

Monday will find clouds increasing, with showers and thunderstorms developing from southwest to northeast during the afternoon and evening. Some of those storms could be strong or severe across the western half of the state. The Storm Prediction Center shows a marginal to slight risk for these areas:

Today’s risk area
Latest Day 1 convective outlook

As the low pressure winds up across the Mississippi Valley, southwesterly winds are going to crank up and could reach 40 mph or greater Monday night and Tuesday. Given that we will be in the warm sector of that system, we could be dealing with severe thunderstorms. A slight risk is out for just about the entire state:

Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary players with the storms.

The cold front moving in behind this storm doesn’t dig quite as much as once thought. That will lead to the cold air oozing in Wednesday. As this happens, a second low develops and probably brings a swath of rain and snow:

GFS

Here’s where that run thinks the snow will fall:

GFS snow

After a cold shot behind that, temps rebound quickly by Friday and Saturday, with 60 possible. This is ahead of another system that looks very similar to the one we will be dealing with in the coming days.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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