Tracking strong storms and gusty winds

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a big storm system rolling across the region, and it can bring some big thunderstorms our way. A few of the storms could be strong or severe as they come at us in waves from the southwest.

This doesn’t look like a huge severe weather outbreak, but it can deliver some local wind damage and hail. In addition to the storms, winds Tuesday could gust to 40 mph at times.

Here are the tracking tools:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Let’s talk about the interesting setup for Wednesday and Thursday. Colder air continues to seep in from the northwest, and that will set up one heck of a temp gradient. I can see the southeast hitting the 60s at the same time readings in the 30s are showing up in the north and west.

As the cold air pushes in, a wave of low pressure develops with an increase in rain and snow. As the low deepens to our east, northwesterly winds would cause snow showers and flurries by Thursday morning. Here’s the GFS:

GFS

The European model also shows some snow:

Euro

That’s a healthy cold shot moving in, but it doesn’t have staying power. As a matter of fact, it gets totally wiped out by Friday as southwesterly winds kick in again. That brings the well-above-normal temps back here for the weekend:

GFS TEMPS 1

Highs in the 60s will be likely, with the potential for showers and thunderstorms increasing. That’s ahead of a cold front that slows down across the region. The models indicate a big piece of upper-level energy hanging back across the southwestern part of the country.

Watch how the European model then ejects that system and tries to form a big winter system next week:

Euro 2

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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