More record warmth ahead

Good Wednesday to one and all. To say this has been a warm stretch would be an understatement. Highs on Tuesday set a record of 72 in Lexington, breaking the old record of 71 from 1874. That’s pretty crazy.

Guess what? We could break another record Friday.

Between now and then, we have some scattered showers out there Wednesday. This action is swirling around a weak low pressure to our south. This will move away in the afternoon, allowing skies to brighten. Highs should stay in the 60s:

Isolated storms will be possible Thursday as temps take off once again. Afternoon highs can reach 70 to 75 in areas getting enough sun. Records for this day are pretty steep, about 80 from 1996.

Friday is a day that we can really see temps taking off, reaching the mid- and upper 70s in some areas. Winds will be very gusty ahead of a cold front moving in with strong or severe storms:

GFS

Here’s the super-early risk area from the SPC:

SPC

Colder air then moves in Saturday, with the chance of some snowflakes and temps in the upper 30s to low 40s.

The GFS continues to show a weak system with a touch of rain and snow by Sunday night:

GFS 2

That’s ahead of a big surge in temps Monday that could lead to additional thunderstorms developing along a warm front:

GFS 3

Highs can hit 70 again by Tuesday and Wednesday as another strong system rolls our way. This can bring heavy rain and strong storms:

GFS 4

Colder air follows that up and that basically is our pattern over the next few weeks. That back-and-forth will lead to an active storm track across our region, with heavy precipitation totals. The average of 22 members from the GFS ensembles is impressive over a two-week span:

GFS Rain 2

Have a great day and take care.

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