Winter tries to fight back

Good Tuesday, everyone. Showers and thunderstorms are rumbling across the region, but the focus of the forecast takes a turn toward winter by the weekend. The Old Man is trying to fight his way back into the picture.

Tuesday’s showers and storms will be accompanied by very gusty winds as a cold front passes through. Some of those gusts could top 40 mph during the afternoon.

Seasonal temps then move in for Wednesday, with highs in the 50s. We should return to highs in the 60s by Thursday as winds gust up ahead of another system moving in.

That system moves in Friday, with gusty showers and a big drop in temps coming behind it. This allows very cold air to engulf the northern half of the country, while the South stays warm.

This puts Kentucky on an area of potential winter weather as low pressure works from west to east across the region.

The first system of interest actually moves in early Friday. This introduces a much colder brand of air to the region from north to south. While it’s mainly a chilly shower maker, the models now show some flakes trying to get in:

The main storm system then follows that up Saturday night into Sunday. The models currently show the track of this storm from west to east across Tennessee. If that is indeed the track, this would put Kentucky into a swath of significant winter weather. Again… that’s IF the track is across Tennessee. If the track is farther north, then you know the drill. Farther south, and you know the drill.

Here’s the afternoon run of the GFS:

That is certainly something for us to keep a very close eye on in the coming days.

Have a great day and take care.

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