Good Sunday, folks. We’re wrapping up the weekend with much better weather blowing across the bluegrass state. This means temps on the increase and more in the way of sunshine. Let’s soak it up, because another busy week of weather is taking shape.
Highs today will reach the 50-55 degree range for many under partly to mostly sunny skies. Winds will be a tad gusty, but that’s typical for March.
Monday is even warmer with southwesterly winds kicking in. Highs should reach the low and middle 60s as clouds increase. There is the threat for a late day shower, but a lot of that holds off until Tuesday:
After a seasonal brand of chill for the middle of the week, the setup across the country then starts to skew warmer than normal. Check out the warm shots showing up on the GFS Ensembles through the rest of March:
With the warmer air will come several storm systems rolling across the country. Each of these can create thunderstorms from the plains into our region. The first arrives in about a week from now:
Additional systems will then follow that up as we go into the following week.
The above setup matches up VERY well with my overall thinking for the spring, and matches up with the CFS seasonal model. The CFS rainfall map through April shows my severe weather concern:
That’s the look one would expect in this stormy setup. With the Gulf of Mexico water temps being crazy warm, that should aid in the severe weather threat for our region and into the south.
Temps from the same CFS run through April look warmer than normal:
A warm and very stormy spring is likely waiting in the wings.
Have a great Sunday and take care.