A busy weather period begins

Good Monday, everyone. We have a scattering of showers and storms around to kick off a very busy week of weather. Rounds of storms are on the move early this week, with the remnants of Harvey potentially impacting us later this week.

We have an upper level low spinning into the region Monday and Tuesday. This will cause rounds of showers and storms to increase, with some of them producing very heavy rains. Pockets of 1″-2″ rains may show up. Here are your radar tracking toys for the day:

This can cause some local high water issues to develop.

Harvey continues to produce historic flooding across Texas. Words cannot describe the destruction and heartbreak that’s going on their now. Unfortunately, it’s only going to get worse with another 20″-30″ of rain possible. Harvey may even slip back out over the water and strengthen again before a 2nd landfall. This may go down as the biggest natural disaster in our country’s history.

We need Harvey to start to move and FAST. The European Model finally begins to kick Harvey out of Texas by late Wednesday into Thursday:

Notice some of the rains ahead of Harvey are working into Kentucky during this time. The new European then takes what’s left of Harvey and moves it right into Kentucky from Friday through Sunday:

 

That would bring a flood threat our way, IF it’s accurate.

The Canadian Model does support the European:

The GFS has been all over the place with Harvey, but again, it is the GFS. Even so, the model isn’t that far away from what the above models are showing:

Moral of the forecasting story: There is an increased chance we have to deal with rains from Harvey later this week, but it’s certainly not set in stone.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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