Tracking a strong cold front across Kentucky

Good Sunday to one and all. A strong cold front is crossing the state today, bringing some big changes to the Commonwealth. Gusty rains and a big blast of fall chill highlight the forecast over the next 24 hours.

Today’s showers and storms will be along and ahead of the front, but I’m not expecting a lot of rain. Many areas will likely pick up less than a quarter inch:

Winds are going to crank as the colder air settles in. Gusts of 30-35mph are a good bet through the evening.

Temps start in the upper 60s and low 70s then drop into the 50s by late afternoon. Those numbers continue to drop and could reach the upper 30s by Monday morning:

Highs Monday should generally be in the upper 50s with a mix of sun and clouds. This sets the stage for a cold morning on Tuesday with mid and upper 30s:

Patchy frost is a good possibility, especially in those sheltered valleys. Highs on Tuesday generally range from 60-65.

The weather for the rest of the week continues to look awesome with temps slowly climbing. We should be 70-75 by the end of the week into the start of next weekend. That’s when anther cold front works our way from the northwest, likely kicking off a much colder pattern for the closing week or so of October:

Several of the long range models even suggest some flakes may fly across the Ohio Valley and Appalachian Mountains during this time:

GFS Ensembles

European Ensembles

That’s a long ways out, so let’s wait and see how this pattern progresses over the next few weeks.

Make it a great day and take care.

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