Tracking two cold fronts

Good Friday to one and all. We have a cold front checking up on top of the state, bringing showers and storms into the region. This is the first of two fronts to affect our region through early next week. The second one has much colder air coming in behind it.

Friday’s rain will be skewed heavier for the first half of the day, with some dry times sneaking into the north later in the day. The radars will help you plan the day:

Our weekend will then be a windy and warm one, with temps much above normal. Scattered showers and storms are possible, especially Saturday. To be safe, take the poncho if you’re going to Kroger Field for the Cats and the Rebels.

Temps by Sunday spike deep into the 70s with strong southwesterly winds. This is ahead of a strong cold front that could produce severe storms just to our north and west. The SPC is already highlighting much of the Ohio Valley in a severe threat:

Those storms will then move in Sunday night and early Monday:

Some strong storms and gusty winds are possible around here Monday. The actual cold front slows down just to our south, allowing for rounds of heavy rain to develop and roll across the state Tuesday and Wednesday:

Notice how the colder air is pressing farther and farther south on each run, making for chillier rain. The below-normal temps really show up well by the middle of the week on the European model:

The GFS ensembles agree:

There is a tremendous buildup of cold air across Canada, just itching to come south. As we get closer… You’re seeing the models now growing colder for next week. These cold shots are likely to show up stronger and stronger in the coming week and change.

The models are already looking colder for next weekend. Here’s the European model:

The European ensembles’ control run is frigid:

Have a great day and take care.

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