Very active setup continues

Good Saturday, everyone. Warm and windy weather is on tap for the weekend, but this pattern isn’t going to last much longer. A pattern change toward colder is coming next week and it could be introduced by some strong storms and heavy rain Sunday night into Monday.

Highs out there today will range from the mid 60s in the north to low 70s in the south. Winds increase during the day and may hit 20-25mph at times. We will also need to be on guard for a scattered storms or two:

Sunday looks VERY warm with temps deep into the 70s. Winds will continue to gust up with 30mph+ gusts a possibility.

As we are enjoying the windy and warm weather, severe thunderstorms will likely develop just to our north and west. All of that may then form a squall line of strong to severe storms that races in here from the northwest Sunday night into early Monday.

The Canadian:

The GFS:

That front stalls out on top of us, allowing heavy rain to develop Monday night into Tuesday:

Much colder air then sinks in behind this for the rest of the week. The GFS Ensembles keep trending colder:

The European Ensembles are also much colder:

This is a pattern where the cold shots will likely keep showing stronger as we get closer. I’ve mentioned how there is a ton of cold air available and that’s something we have NOT seen the past few winters, and have not seen this early in the season since back in 2010.

The Canadian Model just went nuclear with the cold late next weekend:

That’s likely too early in the season, but something like that is possible later this month into December.

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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