Good Thursday, everyone. Our seasonal chill is about to turn downright cold as we roll into Friday. Temps look nothing short of frigid, especially when we factor in the winds. Those wind-chill numbers will be way, way down.
Thursday’s a nice weather day across the commonwealth. Highs are generally 50 to 55, with gusty winds ahead of our cold front. This is a dry front, but the focus is all on the cold air. Look at how much real estate gets in on the cold stuff over the next few days:
That brings 20s in here by Friday morning, with afternoon highs in the upper 30s and low 40s. Those highs are impressive considering we will have sunny skies for the most part. Temps drop into the 20s Friday evening, with readings in the low 20s waiting on some of us by Saturday morning.
Winds are going to be gusty during this time, giving us some heart of winter wind chills. Here’s the NAM:
The Canadian model numbers are even colder:
Highs for Saturday reach the middle upper 40s and low 50s with an increase in clouds. Those clouds are ahead of another cold front sweeping in Sunday. This will bring chilly rain to the region:
The long-range European ensembles continue to trend toward many of the analogs I’ve been throwing out at you since summer. The cold look from Alaska and western Canada makes it way into the eastern half of the country for Thanksgiving week:
The cold shots keep coming on the model, with the focus of the cold settling more into the United States as we head into December:
Given that’s a smoothed-out average from a month away, it’s a healthy cold signal showing up on the model.
The same model run isn’t shy with snow chances through the middle of December:
Of course, that’s just a model set to be used as guidance, But it’s usually the best of the best for general trends. That’s the only reason to look at seasonal models: trends.
Have a great Thursday and take care.