Winter comes on strong next week

Good Thursday, everybody. We have a weak cold front crossing the state, but this is a far cry from the cold fronts coming next week. It’s a major winter pattern taking shape, and it might lock in for much of December.

Let’s start with the near-term. Thursday’s cold front moves in with some gusty showers in the afternoon and evening:

These showers won’t put down very much rain at all, but some spots could get a tenth or two.

Temps come down behind this front for the first day of December. Highs on Friday will hit the upper 40s to low 50s, with a mix of sun and clouds.

Temps as we head into the weekend will turn mild once again, so take advantage of it. Those southwesterly winds will increase Monday as our first front gets ready to push in. Ahead of this front, temps surge into the 60s.

Gusty rain will then sweep in Tuesday as temps drop:

Just like the Canadian and earlier GFS runs, the European model has some snow behind the front early Wednesday:

Cold air then overwhelms the pattern for the end of next week. The European model then takes the trough and goes crazy with a system digging in from the north. Check this thing out:

With the European model digging this thing sooooo far south, it develops a huge storm coming out of the Gulf late next week:

Again, it’s way, way, way, way too early to get too caught up in individual snow threats. However, I do expect several snow chances through December and expect the month to finish above the normal.

The GFS ensembles continue to grow more confident in snow chances over the next two weeks:

December has some extreme options on the table. It’s a rare pattern setting up, and one we will follow closely in the coming days.

Have a terrific Thursday and take care.

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