A half and half weekend ahead

Good Friday to one and all. We are rolling into the weekend with a little good news, and a little bad news. It’s shaping up to be a half and half weather weekend, but it’s next weekend that has more of an interesting look.

Let’s start with today and roll ahead. Highs will be back in the 30s with mostly cloudy skies and the potential for a flurry or two passing by. Gusty winds will make it feel much colder.

Saturday’s weather continues to look great with highs from 45-50 in many areas with mostly sunny skies. Clouds will increase during the afternoon, ahead of a light rain maker for Sunday.

That’s some pretty light stuff, with temps in the upper 30s and low 40s.

Another shower maker then moves in from the same direction by Tuesday. This one will be able to tap some colder air behind it:

From there, we continue to see pattern setting up a battleground of wintry precipitation across our region as we head into the Christmas weekend. The operational models will continue to go back and forth on exactly where this sets up. Don’t get caught up in any one model showing snow, ice or rain for our region. All three modes of precipitation are VERY possible around here.

The European Model continues to show some VERY wild swings in how it handles the setup behind this front:

The new run plows the cold air through here to start Christmas weekend:

That allows for a big storm system to develop across the deep south by Christmas Eve morning:

The GFS keeps giving us a different look, with the latest look being colder than the earlier runs:

Again, all I can tell you is that we are in the zone for potential wintry precipitation Christmas weekend into Christmas week. That’s pretty much it.

It is interesting to see the GFS Ensembles showing the cold air being more entrenched than the operational GFS. Here is the 5 day temp anomaly in Celsius:

We still have plenty of time to watch all this.

Make it a great day and take care.

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