Flood threat starts our Christmas weekend

Good Friday, everyone. We’ve made it to Christmas weekend and the weather is taking center stage. We have a flood threat to start things out, with the potential for some light snow as Old Saint Nick rolls into town on Christmas Eve.

Heavy rains press in from southwest to northeast Friday, and this action will carry us through Saturday. This is a general 1 to 3 incheds of rain, with locally higher amounts in the south:

With the potential for so much rain to fall, a flash flood watch is out for many areas through Saturday:

Watch the creeks and streams, especially Friday night and the first half of Saturday.

Here’s your regional radar to track the increase in heavy rain:

Cold air sweeps in, leading to a massive drop in temps from northwest to southeast. Some wet snow will try to mix in across the north and northeast late in the day.

I still like the light snow maker coming in for Christmas Eve and Christmas morning. Can we get this thing to put some snow on the ground? Yep. Here’s my current “odds” map:

The last two runs of the GFS ensembles show the spread across our region. You can see that well on the individual members:

Cold air sweeps in, leading to a massive drop in temps from northwest to southeast. Some wet snow will try to mix in across the north and northeast late in the day.

From there, another light snow maker will be possible by Tuesday, with a bigger system taking shape for later next week.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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