Good Sunday, everyone. It’s likely to be a day for multiple updates as another winter weather maker rolls across parts of Kentucky. Heavy snow looks to target a large chunk of Kentucky tonight and very early Monday.
Here’s the area most at risk for a heavy, wet snow:
The GFS continues to be consistent with the heaviest band of snow across central Kentucky:
The snowfall map from that run really drops the hammer on central Kentucky…
The Canadian Model is very similar to the GFS:
The NAM keeps the main snow threat across the southern half of the state, with a comma head of snow rolling due east:
Here’s the snow forecast from that particular run:
Do NOT take the placement and numbers as the absolute gospel. They are coming from one run of one computer model. It’s also showing snowfall and not snow depth.
The Hi Res NAM has a similar comma head of snow rolling from west to east:
The snow map from that also targets western Kentucky, and gets more choppy the farther east it goes:
All this begins as rain, then switches over to snow as dynamic cooling takes over in the comma head of precipitation. Even then, temps maybe marginal, adding to the accumulation dilemma.
As you can see, there will be a very sharp cutoff on the northern edge of the precipitation shield, wherever that sets up.
I expect Winter Storm Watches, warnings and advisories to be issued early today:
Colder air then funnels into the rest of the state behind this for early in the week. A clipper may bring light snow back into many areas late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
Our clocks are the only things “springing”, right now. Enjoy the day and take care.