Watching another system this weekend

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a clear and cold day taking shape, but it’s all eyes on another system rolling our way for the weekend. That can bring heavy rain and a swath of snow back into the bluegrass state.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs will be in the low and middle 40s with plenty of sunshine.

Friday starts cold and ends milder with highs closing in on 50 degrees. Clouds will increase during the afternoon and evening, ahead of a storm diving in from the northwest. The storm moving in will have a MEGA temperature gradient to work with. Look at the afternoon temps on Saturday:

That’s more than a 40 degree difference from western Kentucky into northern parts of the state. Just… Wow! Heavy rain, heavy snow and thunderstorms develop as a potent low rides that boundary:

The models continue to point toward northern and northeastern Kentucky for the potential of a significant snowstorm Saturday and Saturday night.

The European Model has a crusher:

It is backed up by the average of the 51 member European Ensembles:

The GFS is basically in lock step with the European Model:

The GFS Ensembles show the same track for heavy snow:

A few thoughts:

  • First and foremost, those are computer forecast models and not a forecast from me.
  • Any deviation in the track of the low may push that heavy snow band farther north or farther south.
  • Areas of northern and northeastern Kentucky need to pay very close attention to upcoming forecasts. That much snow could cause big issues.
  • Temps on Saturday may reach the low 70s in far west, and stay in the 30s for much of central and eastern Kentucky.
  • Outside the areas getting in on the POTENTIAL for snow, heavy rains will be noted. A general 1″-2″ of rain is possible.
  • Thunderstorms are possible in the west.

I will have an update later today, so check back in with us. Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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