Winter storm threat for Friday night and Saturday morning

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a very nice day ahead of us, but Old Man Winter is ready to slap us around again. A developing winter storm will work our way by late Friday into early Saturday, and it may drop several inches of wet snow.

Before we get into that, let’s talk about today. Highs will be in the 50s with a mix of sun and clouds. A gusty wind will make it feel chillier than that.

Things begin to change late Friday as a storm system rolls our way. Heavy rains will increase quickly, then we will see much of that going over to snow Friday night and early Saturday.

Here’s my first “odds” map for the Winter Storm THREAT:

 

Obviously, the track of the low will have the main say in where the heavy snow band sets up. The risk areas can go a little north or south as we get closer.

The WPC has a similar through process, but is a littler broader with the potential for 4″+ snows:

The European Model has a major hit:

So does the NAM:

The GFS is similar:

Temps by Sunday morning may reach the teens for areas that may have snow on the ground.

For some perspective on how extreme this potential is, let’s use Lexington as the focal point. It will only take 1″ of snow to be a top 10 snowiest April on record and 2.9″ to crack the top 5. The top spot belongs to 1987 with 5.9″. That was from a storm that dumped 30″ in the mountains of eastern Kentucky.

For temps, Lexington has only reached the teens on 3 days and 2 of those were from April, 1875, when record keeping was a little sketchy.

We are living in some wild weather times, folks. Make it a good one and take care.

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