Watching storms to start Kentucky Derby Weekend

Good Wednesday, folks. Our weather continues to be absolutely awesome out there, with warm temps and mostly sunny skies. This has been a perfect start to Kentucky Derby week, but showers and storms may impact part of our big weekend ahead.

Before we get there, let’s focus on today’s weather. Highs will be from 80-85 for many as a strong southwest wind cranks. That same wind will bring an increase in humidity levels and may spawn isolated showers and storms.

The best chance will be to our west, but I have your radars ready just in case:

Thursday’s weather will be very similar to what we have out there today. Highs are back into the 80s, with a slightly better chance for some showers and storms in the afternoon:



Scattered showers and storms will then increase for Kentucky Oaks Day Friday. This isn’t going to be washout material, but some decent showers and storms will go up as a cold front moves in. The current trend in the modelling is to slow this front down Friday night into Derby Day.

That slower moving front could keep some showers and storms around for the big day. Here’s the GFS from Friday evening through Saturday night:

The new Canadian Model is now much more aggressive with the Derby Day storm chances:

As I’ve been saying for days, the slower the front, the better the chance for some Derby Day storm action.


Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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