Tracking storms to start Derby weekend

Good Friday and happy Kentucky Oaks Day! The big weekend is off and running with scattered showers and storms rolling across the bluegrass state. This isn’t a total washout of an Oaks Day, but we may need the poncho from time to time. Derby Day may feature some heavier rains across the region.

Today’s storms will be fairly scattered, with dry hours and some sun in between. A few of the storms may be strong or locally severe, but the threat isn’t very high:

I will get your tracking tools in a bit.

The front producing the showers and storms slows down on top of us tonight, allowing a wave of low pressure to develop along it.  That may bring a swath of heavy rain across our region. Look at the hefty rain totals showing up through Saturday night:


Hi Res NAM

The GFS has made a big jump compared to earlier runs:

Notice how most of the runs have the Louisville area between the heavier rains to the south, and not much to the north. That’s a fine line we are walking for the Derby City on Derby Day.

Another cold front then works in here late Sunday , bringing showers and strong storms:


Much cooler air then follows that up to begin next week.

Here are your Oaks Day storm trackers:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great Oaks Day and take care.

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