Tracking another cold front into Kentucky

Good Tuesday, everybody. This is about as good as it gets to start summer across central and eastern Kentucky. Pleasant afternoons with cool nights look to continue through much of the week, as we get another front into town tonight. That just reinforces the awesomeness. 🙂

Today starts very cool with readings in the low and middle 50s for most. Afternoon temps reach the upper 70s central and east, with middle 80s in the west. Winds will gust up ahead of a cold front arriving overnight. That may fire up a broken line of showers and storms:

Here’s regional radar to track the action from the north:

Temps behind this are very cool for Wednesday. The high temp numbers coming from the NAM are chilly for June:

That’s probably a little too cool, but you get the idea. Wednesday is going to be awfully nice! Low temps from the NAM for Thursday morning would be near records:

The GFS isn’t quite as cool, but also shows some readings dipping into the 40s:

The threat for showers and storms will increase later Friday and looks to continue into the upcoming weekend.

It’s been less than 2 months since we had our last snows, but I’m already getting folks asking me about the upcoming fall and winter. The main thing to watch at this point is what happens with the equatorial Pacific. Current indications are that a weak El Nino develops. The placement and strength of that El Nino are crucial to what kind of winter we get around here. Those El Ninos centered farther west tend to favor cold in the eastern part of the country. Those centered near the coast of Peru, tend to be warmer around here.

The JAMSTEC seasonal model now has winter within range. The forecast for the December-February period shows two things winter lovers would like to have happen. One is a developing El Nino centered well west of South America. The other is our old friend the warm pool developing off the west coast and into the Gulf of Alaska:

Those two point toward colder conditions in the east and, sure enough, the forecast temps for December-February show just that:

I’ll throw some more fall and winter stuff out soon, so keep checking back. Have a terrific Tuesday and take care.

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