Unsettled pattern means cooler than normal temps

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a strong cold front right on top of the region today, bring more showers and storms to parts of the state. Much cooler air comes in behind this front, kicking off a cooler than normal weather pattern.

With the cool pattern comes unsettled weather. That setup doesn’t bode well for the upcoming weekend. I will get to that in a bit.

Let’s begin with the front on the move today. Highs reach the middle 80s ahead of the boundary as scattered showers and storms rumble through:

Much cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front tonight and Wednesday. Highs generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s across the state, with low humidity levels.

Thursday looks equally as nice with dry weather and highs in the 80-85 degree range for many.

Another system then works our way for Friday, and is likely to be a huge cutoff system that hangs out into the weekend and early next week:

That’s pretty crazy to see in the heart of summer!  The end result would be unsettled weather with rounds of showers and storms likely:

There is the potential for a lot of rain to fall through the weekend:

Temperatures may be held WAY down under the core of that upper low.  In fact, the setup has me checking to see what the record cool high temps are for a few days… Just out of curiosity.

Another deep trough is likely to dive in later next week.

Let’s talk a little about winter. Lately, I’ve been sharing many of the seasonal models all singing a similar tune with a developing weak El Nino. I’ve illustrated how the placement of the warmest waters are vitally important as to what kind of winter we get around here. With the likelihood of the warmest anomalies being located in region 3.4 of the equatorial Pacific, it enhances the potential for a trough to develop across the eastern part of the country.

A new seasonal model is in and shows that scenario happening. Here’s the Canadian month by month breakdown from December through March:

That’s a good look for winter weather lovers across Kentucky and for much of the country. That also matches up reasonably well with some of the other seasonal models I’ve been showing.

Make it a great day and take care.

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