From Gordon to Florence

Good Monday, everyone. Record rains feel across much of the region over the weekend as the remnants of Gordon teamed up with a stalled front. Flooding is still an issue for a few this morning, but the focus going forward is on Hurricane Florence.

Let’s start out with where we are on this Monday. Low clouds and some drizzle is possible, with leftover showers in the east. Temps are MUCH cooler with highs mainly in the 60s. Track away…

Scattered showers and storms return for the middle and end of the week as we focus on Florence. This hurricane is going to be a powerful one that heads toward the Carolinas. This may very well be a Cat 4 or 5 hurricane:

cone graphic

The spaghetti plots from the various hurricane models are in line with that forecast:

The European Model continues to be consistent with a NC hit:

The model continues to stall this system in the Appalachian Mountains and Mid-Atlantic, bringing a devastating flood to many, with eastern Kentucky getting in on some of the action:

The new version of the GFS is similar to what the European is showing:

The soon to be replaced GFS is steal and wandering storm swept out to see by a deep trough:

The Canadian Model is a cross between the old GFS and the European Model:

The NAVY brings this system very far west toward our region:

At this point, I’m not going to bet against. at least, some impact on our weather from this storm.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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