A few storms join a warm start to October

Good Tuesday, folks. October is off and running on a very warm note with our temps running well above normal. As the temps spike, we are also dealing with an increase scattered storms.

Temps today are back into the upper 70s and low 80s with a touch of humidity. A weak front is slowing down on top of us and this will help fire up scattered showers and storms. A few of the storms may contain locally heavy downpours. As usual, I have you set to track the action:

Wednesday is a very warm and humid day with high temps hitting 80-85 for many. Isolated showers and storms will be possible.

Another front moves into the Ohio Valley on Thursday and will bring an increase in showers and storms. That front will only get so far into the region before it checks up. Watch how the storms fire up in the afternoon and evening:

A few of those storms may even be on the strong side.

Scattered showers and storms will be around this weekend into early next week. From there, what happens around here may largely depend on what happens in the tropics. Many of the models slowly bring the western trough toward the east, with something tropical trying to form in the Caribbean. Some of the runs from the new version of the GFS have this in the gulf and trying to head our way. The Canadian is now on that train:

It’s still very early in the game, but that’s an interesting scenario and one that’s more than plausible… Especially given we have already had 3 systems move across the state this season.

At some point, the cold weather damn will break and it will flood our region in a big way. The European Ensembles continues to show this late next week:

Have a great day and take care.

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