Tracking a weak cold front

Good Thursday to one and all. A weak cold front is dropping into the region from the northwest. This boundary will get close enough to fire off some showers and thunderstorms through tonight. This is actually the first of two cold fronts making a run at us in the coming days.

Highs today will generally be in the 80-85 degree range for many. Winds will be very gusty and that will stir up a few scattered storms. A line of showers and storms will then move our way by the evening. That line may have some strong storms with it and put down heavy rains for some.

As always, I have you set to track:

The setup for the next few days will feature a continuation of the warm and humid conditions. A shower or storm may also go up, but much of the time looks to be dry. If you’re heading out to the first weekend of the fall meet at Keeneland, here’s what to expect:

Again, rain chances aren’t great, but there’s still the chance for a shower or storm to go up.

That brings us to next week and the potential for tropical trouble to develop in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. The timing on such a system may coincide with the western trough sliding east finally.

The Canadian continues with the Gulf storm that slides northward along a front into our region:

The GFS is sniffing out the same idea, but doesn’t develop the system as much as the Canadian does:

Both of those finally break down this summer pattern and introduce us to some real deal fall.

Have a terrific Thursday and take care.

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