Flood threat and high winds ahead

Good Tuesday, folks. Our monster of a Halloween storm continues to roll toward the bluegrass state. This will bring the threat for flooding rains and high winds for Halloween into the first day of November.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

  • A cold front works into the region and slows down on Halloween.
  • That allows for an area of low pressure to develop along the boundary and roll right on top of us.
  • Rounds of heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms rumble across the state.
  • Heavy rains of 1″-4″ are likely for Wednesday and Thursday, with local amounts up to 6″ possible.
  • Flooding and flash flooding issues may develop during this time.
  • High winds will be a big player, especially Wednesday night and Thursday. Gusts may exceed 50mph.
  • Along and east of the track of the low, a few strong to severe storms are possible. The best chance of that may wind up across the central and east.

Here’s a look at the area I’m highlighting for the best chance for high water issues:

The European Model has a potent storm strengthening right on top of Kentucky:

That track would bring a ton of rain, high winds and a few strong storms to the region. The rain forecast from the Euro is a little tighter with the gradient:

The GFS is very similar, but a little farther east:

The wind threat continues to increase. Gusts on Halloween are greater than 40mph on the European:

The Euro then takes winds to 50mph or greater in some areas Thursday into Thursday night:

Make it a great day and take care.

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