Severe weather possible tonight

Good Monday, folks. We have a potent storm system working into the region tonight and early Election Day. This may very well bring severe storms, high winds and heavy rains to much of the region.

Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes are all possible across the state. The wind damage threat is very high, with power outages a good possibility. This may very well cause issues for a few polling places early Election Day.

These storms may also be major rain producers that cause flash flooding. Look at the model forecasts for rainfall from just Monday night:

GFS

Hi Res NAM

2″-3″ of rain may fall in just a few hours. Given how wet we are, that could easily cause flash flooding issues to develop. Here are your tracking toys for the day:

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

The rain clears out pretty quickly on Tuesday as gusty winds remain for voters. Temps drop behind this system, with seasonally cold air for Wednesday and Thursday. Another system then moves our way with rain that may end as some snowflakes on Friday or Saturday:

That’s some very cold air coming in behind that front with highs that may stay in the 30s next weekend.

Another winter looking system then drops in after that:

This is the new version of the GFS and it’s much more in line with reality than the current GFS. Check out the snow numbers from that run over the next 10 days:

The GFS Ensembles are all over the snow potential over the next few weeks:

Shots of arctic air look to show up behind each system moving in.

Have a great day and take care.

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