Snow potential in the days ahead

Good Saturday, folks. It’s a very winter-like pattern settling in across the bluegrass state. Many areas picked up the first flurries and snow showers of the season last night, with a bigger snow system lurking for Monday and Tuesday.

A few flakes will be leftover early this morning, but much of the day will be filled with sunny skies. Here’s regional radar to track the super early flakes:

Temps this morning are in the low and middle 20s, but wind chills are deep in the teens. Even with sunny skies taking over, highs today only reach the 30s.

Clouds will roll in on Sunday as temps start in the 20s and reach the 40s by afternoon.

Clouds thicken on Sunday as we await the impact from a developing winter storm early next week.  That storm develops in the deep south and rolls up the east coast Monday into Tuesday. Rain and a mix of rain and snow moves in Monday, with a swath of snow taking over Monday night and Tuesday:

That’s the GFS that, as expected, shifted much farther north and west from what it had been showing. That southeast bias of the model is VERY common, so it should be pretty easy for any forecaster to correct.

The European Model has a bias the other way. It holds on to southwestern energy too long, thus showing a stronger low too far north and west. That model is also shaking off the bias and is trending east and south:

Here’s the area I’m highlighting for the best chance to pick up on, at least, some light accumulating snows late Monday and Tuesday:

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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