Winter returns for the week ahead

Good Sunday, everyone. Showers and thunderstorms on Saturday proved to be historic for Lexington as we set two different rainfall records. The record breaking rains are moving away to give us a nice Sunday, but Old Man Winter is ready to move back in for the week ahead.

Before we look toward the change to winter, let’s stop for a moment to talk about the remarkable rainfall for the year. 2018 is now the wettest year on record with approximately 67″ of rain and we still have nearly a month to go. 4 of the top 10 wettest years have occurred since 2011.

The rains on Saturday added up to more than 1″, which made it the wettest first day of December on record. It was also the 195th day with precipitation out of 335 on the year. That means it has rained or snowed on 58% of the days this year in Lexington. Wow!

Better weather is blowing in today with mostly sunny skies taking over. Winds are going to be very gusty with highs that may reach the 60-65 degree range.

, temps begin to fall on Monday as a cold front moves in. That front may touch off a shower or two in the afternoon, with a few flakes flying Monday night. Periods of light snow and snow showers will then settle in for Tuesday and Wednesday…

Some light accumulations are possible as cold air takes control of the pattern, once again.

Keep an eye on late Thursday or Thursday night for a possible light snow maker. That’s been showing up more and more of late, but I’m not quite sold on it yet.

The potential storm system for the weekend continues to show up well on the models. This is a signal I’ve been talking about for about a week, now. While the models have a fairly significant storm, they differ on exactly what to do with it.

The European Model continues to show a healthy snow hit:

The new version of the GFS has a similar look:

The GFS shows a different solution with each run, but that’s to be expected from this far out. The latest run is the farthest north of all the models:

The Ensembles are more in line with the operational European. These maps are for the next two weeks with our storm potential right in the middle of that time:

Euro Ensembles

GFS Ensembles

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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