Good Monday, everyone. We are coming off a very warm weekend for early December, but winter weather is rolling back in. It’s a setup that will bring periods of light snow over the next few days, with a possible bigger system lurking for later Friday into Saturday.
As always, let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs come way down compared to the past few days and stay in the upper 30s to low 40s. Colder winds may stir up a rain or snow shower:
That colder air continues to settle in Tuesday and Wednesday with light snow and snow showers becoming common. Light accumulations are a good bet, especially Tuesday night and Wednesday. That shows up on the models:
New version of the GFS
Wednesday may find a few delays and cancellations across the region.
Another system zips through here late Thursday into Thursday night. This may have some rain and snow with it, with the potential for another light accumulating snowfall for some:
That system is likely to have an impact on the track of the potential winter storm coming behind it for late Friday into the weekend.
We’re likely to see another potent low eject out of the southwest and roll from east to west across the southern states. That’s likely to then turn the corner up the east coast. The exact track of that low will be the determining factor on exactly where that low goes and how much winter weather it can bring us.
Let’s check in on the current model runs to see what they are cooking up.
The latest European Model has a very suppressed storm track that takes snow well to our south:
The new version of the GFS continues with a good winter storm hit:
The GFS is very similar:
The Canadian is just a smidge farther south with all that:
There’s still plenty of time to watch this system and the models will vary from run to run, sometimes drastically.
Make it a good one and take care.