Late week storm on the way

Good Tuesday, folks. Nice weather continues for a few more days, but a big storm system is about to take shape for the end of the week. That system will have a major impact on our weather with gusty winds, heavy rain and the chance for wraparound flakes.

Temps out there today are in the pleasant mid and upper 40s with a mostly sunny sky. Highs by Wednesday hit the 50s with clouds on the increase. Those clouds are streaming out ahead of a major storm system ready to impact our weather.

Here’s a breakdown of how things look at this point:

  • The timeline on this storm is Thursday through early Saturday
  • This storm system is massive in coverage and may impact every state east of the Mississippi River
  • Rain and wind are likely across Kentucky Thursday into the first half of Friday.
  • Rainfall amounts of 1″-3″ appear to be a good bet, especially across central and eastern Kentucky. This may cause flooding issues to develop.
  • Colder air may get pulled in behind the departing low, setting up a band of rain and snow that ends as snow late Friday through Saturday morning. I continue to be a little more optimistic of this potential, especially across the eastern half of the state.

The European Model is able to tap just a little more cold air than it’s earlier runs…

The average of the 51 member European Ensembles has a little bit of snow, too:

The ICON is very similar:

The new version of the GFS is a little more robust with the wraparound snow potential:

Again, the mix and snow potential on the wraparound isn’t a given. The heavy rain threat is pretty well set, with enough to cause some flooding issues in the eastern half of the state:

The next system zips in late Sunday into early Christmas Eve Day and may bring a period of light rain and light snow:

Another system tries to move in here late Christmas Day:

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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